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First Winfrey – Trump polling has Oprah 10 points ahead

First Winfrey – Trump polling has Oprah 10 points ahead

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Boondocks And she’s a favourability rating of 55% New polling just out this afternoon from the right-leaning pollster Rasmussen has a big boost for TV personality, Oprah Winfrey who has now entered, though not the race, the frame for WH20020. This is from the pollster: “TV personality Oprah Winfrey is the likely winner over President Trump if the 2020 election were held today, but there are a lot of undecideds. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds…

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Suddenly Oprah Winfrey becomes second favourite for next President

Suddenly Oprah Winfrey becomes second favourite for next President

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But does she want it? It never ceases to amaze me how quickly the American presidential election cycle seems to move. Donald Trump has only been in the White House since January last year and now all the talk is of the 2020 contest with a focus on who would be his Democratic opponent should he decide to run again. Following her widely publicised appearance at The Golden Globes on Sunday night in Los Angeles the talk is all about…

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If you are betting on the Trump exit markets be careful to check the precise terms of the bet

If you are betting on the Trump exit markets be careful to check the precise terms of the bet

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What happens, for instance, if the President dies in office? Inevitably the publication of the new book on the Trump White House Fire and Fury, by Michael Wolff has led to an enormous amount interest in betting on whether Mr trump Will survive his first term. This is currently, by a big margin, the busiest current political betting market and I would expect that to continue for some time. I’d also expect a lot of fluctuations as one new development…

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What 2018 could have in store for Trump (and who might he face in 2020)

What 2018 could have in store for Trump (and who might he face in 2020)

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On his return from the U.S., Keiran Pedley gives us the rundown on what is happening stateside Having spent a few weeks in New Jersey, as I usually do this time of year, it will not come as much of a surprise that the news media there is wall to wall Trump. However, as a keen observer of US politics, I do enjoy being over there and watching the political comings and goings ‘live’ – you can often pick up…

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In the absence of divine intervention defeated Alabama Republican Moore launches action to overturn result

In the absence of divine intervention defeated Alabama Republican Moore launches action to overturn result

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Defeated Republican in Alabama, Roy Moore, launches action to nullify the result. https://t.co/XjsGswYgSM — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 28, 2017 Betfair punters might have to wait even longer Today was supposed to be the day when the hard fought and controversial special election in Alabama to elect a Senator was due to be formalised, In the Sensational result 2 weeks ago the Democrats beat the controversial Republican, Roy Moore by 1.5%. Instead of accepting the outcome Moore said on the…

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Donald Trump’s exit year remains the most active political betting market

Donald Trump’s exit year remains the most active political betting market

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But what a tedious unimaginative market As we move towards the end of the year I plan to run a series of posts looking at the current active betting markets of which there are not a lot. The top one is, inevitably, Donald Trump and which year he will eventually stop being president. As can be seen from the Betdata.io chart punters rate him as a 53% chance of getting to the end of his first term. This is a…

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The Republicans lose control of the Virginia House of Delegates after a seat moved to DEM by a single vote

The Republicans lose control of the Virginia House of Delegates after a seat moved to DEM by a single vote

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An extraordinary fluke. After recounts Democrat wins Virginia House seat by just ONE vote meaning that its is now Dem 50 – GOP 50 – so the Republicans lose control Democrat wins Va. House seat in recount by single vote, creating 50-50 tie in legislature https://t.co/avLNYnlwVt — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 19, 2017 What has happened in a Virginian election this week is a story that will be remembered and repeated time and time again on election days as party…

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Farage’s man’s refusal to admit defeat means Betfair Alabama punters won’t get their winnings this side of Xmas

Farage’s man’s refusal to admit defeat means Betfair Alabama punters won’t get their winnings this side of Xmas

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It is now 5 days since the white supremacist, Roy Moore, lost the special election in Alabama for the US Senate. The vote margin of 1.5% was in excess of that which is allowed under state law for a losing candidate to call for a recount. The winner, the Democrat, is widely regarded as such and there is no suggestion anywhere that the result can be overturned. All the focus now is on the political consequences of the GOP position…

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