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On the eve of the critical Mississippi senate election Trump’s approval ratings plummet

On the eve of the critical Mississippi senate election Trump’s approval ratings plummet

Meanwhile the Mueller investigation gets closer Tomorrow sees the final chapter in this year’s midterms with the runoff for the Senatorial place in Mississippi. Today the president is attending two mass rallies in different parts of the state in the hope of shoring up his core vote ahead of the election. This is one that Republicans should really hold. It is in a solid “red state” and the expectation is that the party will be able to see off a…

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Betting on Tuesday’s final midterms showdown – the Mississippi senatorial run-off

Betting on Tuesday’s final midterms showdown – the Mississippi senatorial run-off

The contest that’s evoking look backs to the Civil War It might be 3 weeks since the US midterm elections but there is a lot still to be settled. One of the interesting features from a British perspective is that some States seem to take an enormously long time to actually count the votes and not all the California seats in the house have been resolved yet. Meanwhile in the state of Mississippi with its long history of difficult race…

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I just wonder if Trump could decide to call it a day and quit

I just wonder if Trump could decide to call it a day and quit

Just be thankful you don’t work in the West Wing Away from Brexit for a moment and things do not appear to be happy in the White House. This from the excellent Political Wire For weeks this fall, an ebullient President Trump traveled relentlessly to hold raise-the-rafters campaign rallies — sometimes three a day — in states where his presence was likely to help Republicans on the ballot,” the Los Angeles Times reports. “But his mood apparently has changed as…

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Richard Ojeda – my 250/1 longshot to take on the draft-dodging incumbent

Richard Ojeda – my 250/1 longshot to take on the draft-dodging incumbent

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N9lWuZ7f-oA&feature=youtu.be Yesterday one of the midterm contenders who received a lot of publicity during the campaign, Richard Ojeda, announced that he was running for the presidency and published his first campaign video, see above. He was fighting last Tuesday in a congressional district in West Virginia that had been won by Trump by a margin of 49% at WH2016. He ended up just 14% behind the Republican victor an improvement of 35 points. Given the likely nature of the White…

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Trump slips in the WH2020 betting after his party’s midterms performance

Trump slips in the WH2020 betting after his party’s midterms performance

Betdate.io It is now the nearly week since the US midterm elections and still we have to wait for a final outcome. There are two big state results to be completed both of which are on a knife edge. There is a strong argument for saying that the midterm performances 2 years before a presidential election are not a good pointer to the outcome. There are certainly a number of precedents to support that position. What makes the 2018 elections…

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After Tuesday Trump surely has less than a 69% chance of being the Republican WH2020 nominee

After Tuesday Trump surely has less than a 69% chance of being the Republican WH2020 nominee

The value bet is that he won’t A number of US commentators are taking the view that the order in which results came in on Tuesday evening is giving a distorted picture of what happened. The early news about the races in Ohio and Florida dominated the initial thinking and overshadowed what is now clear was in fact a big success for the Democrats. The party looks set to make more House gains than at any Midterms since Watergate. The…

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PB Video Analysis: Who Won The Midterms? Does It Matter?

PB Video Analysis: Who Won The Midterms? Does It Matter?

There’s this parody of Guardian readers children’s parties, where pass the parcel involves presents with every layer, and nobody is ever eliminated from musical chairs. This “all must have prizes” mentality seems to have reached US politics, as it appears that everyone won the midterms: the Democrats, the Republicans, Nancy Pelosi and President Trump. Who really won, and – ummm – does it matter? I’m diving into the numbers and letting you know who should be pleased. Robert Smithson Robert…

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The main loser from the MidTerms looks set to be “Big Pharma”

The main loser from the MidTerms looks set to be “Big Pharma”

One of the things we take for granted in the UK is the cost of our prescription medications. This is all part of the NHS and the majority of patients are too young/old or have chronic conditions which mean that they don’t pay. Even those who don’t benefit from free prescriptions are not asked to pay the cost price of their medication but a fixed fee. This means the NHS as almost a monopoly buyer is able to secure even…

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