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We are almost there. Just 3 days to go before Iowa – the first State to decide on its Democratic party nomination holds its unique selection processes. What makes this important is that the outcome has, historically, had an impact on the other states that follow. Getting a good outcome here can produce a huge lift off in the rest of the race and the main contenders know it. Although only perhaps 16% of Iowans will actually participate on Monday…

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In January 2004 the former governor of Vermont, Howard Dean, looked as though he might make it right through to the nomination. He had been a big pioneer of utilising the internet for online donations and mobilising volunteers something that was quite new at the time. In the polls ahead of Iowa, then like now the first state to decide, he looked strong and was tight favourite, at one stage odds-on in the betting, for the nomination. At the time…

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But Bernie and Biden still top the polling and betting The weekend has seen the leading papers in first two states to decide give their backing to Senators Warren and Klobuchar. In Iowa its the Des Moines Register that is going for Warren while in New Hampshire the Union Leader goes for Sen. Amy Klobuchar. Historically this does matter and according to Fivethirtyeight the DMR’s backing has been worth an average boost of 4% in previous races. My guess is…

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Amy Klobuchar won the debate, writes @mattklewis https://t.co/gycj3wPEWj — The Daily Beast (@thedailybeast) December 20, 2019 The 59 year old from Minnesota should now get some traction Overnight we have had the the December democratic debate in the long process to choose the party’s nominee for next November’s White House election. The field is getting much smaller and on the debate stage in Los Angeles there were just seven which made it a lot more manageable and better television. There…

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We are now just six and a half weeks off the first big event in WH2020 – the Iowa caucuses on February 3rd when those seeking the Democratic nomination will face their first electoral test with real voters. The crowded field has slimmed back a bit with former favourite Kamala Harris pulling out but there are a lot of contenders still there. The experience of previous races is that doing well in Iowa and then the New Hampshire primary sets…

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Emerson IOWA poll BIDEN 23%Sanders 22%Buttigieg 18%Warren 12%Klobuchar 10% All else <5 https://t.co/vZTj4f3KaB — Bill Scher (@billscher) December 11, 2019 My 760/1 WH2020 shot enters the frame My apologies for going off the GE2020 message but for me personally this morning the biggest betting news is this latest poll from Iowa showing that my wild longshot for WH2020, Amy Klobuchar,  has now moved up sharply in the Iowa polling and looks set to become a serious contender in the first state…

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So another one bites the dust The big news from the US is the California Senator, Kamala Harris, is reported to be quitting the race for the nomination. This come less than six months after moving to the favourite slot following her performance in the first TV debate. Unfortunately she was not able to follow that up and has dwindled in the polls. The latest surveys in Iowa, the first state to decide, have her down at 2-3%. She simply…

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