politicalbetting.com

Overnight we have seen another terrible night for Bernie Sanders in the latest range of state primaries. The biggest was Michigan which was taken by Sandesr against Hillary Clinton four years ago and was the first big indicator that all was not well well in the Clinton campaign. Trump then went on to take Michigan by a whisker in the general election itself. Biden’s current margin there over Sanders in Michigan is 18%. This together with what he did a…

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After his sensational change of fortune just ten days ago ex-VP, 77-year old Joe Biden heads into tonight’s round of primaries. The one that will be most watched is Michigan where Bernie Sanders pulled off a sensational victory of Clinton at WH2016. The polling, this time, is heavily for Biden. Michigan will be a key target for the Dems in Novermber. Amongst the other states tomight are Mississippi abd Missouri where Biden should do well. An interesting one which Bernie…

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I have a long history of always losing money betting on who will be the Vice Presidential nomination in an American presidential election. Even for WH2020 I’m in negative territory having had a small wager on Elizabeth Warren before the big moves ahead of Super Tuesday that saw Pete Buttigieg and Amy klobuchar get behind Joe Biden It his piece this morning David herdson suggested Julian Castro was a good bet and that has helped shift him on Betfair to…

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Predicting running-mates is notoriously difficult but he ticks the right boxes US Vice Presidents have four main jobs. Firstly, once elected, they are the president’s most senior dogsbody; picking up the jobs that the president might do were he interested or have time, but where is doesn’t or hasn’t. Usually that means attending state funerals but for the moment it also appears to encompass praying for salvation against pandemics. Secondly if necessary – and it might well be next year…

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This is a market that so far we have not featured on PB – will a candidate get a majority of the pledged delegates? This is the market definition: “Will a Democratic Presidential Nominee candidate reach a majority, more than half, of pledged delegates after the results of the last Primary to officially declare? Delegate count will be taken from The Democratic Party. This market will be settled once all primary results have been officially declared by the Democratic Party….

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But no results yet from Texas and California