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Biden’s VP choice: Klobuchar, 2nd favourite in the betting less than a month go, has withdrawn from being considered

Biden’s VP choice: Klobuchar, 2nd favourite in the betting less than a month go, has withdrawn from being considered

She says a person of colour should be chosen The big political betting news is a piece in the New York Times reporting that Senator Amy Klobuchar has written to Joe Biden saying she doesn’t want to be considered for the Democratic VP nomination. As the Betdata.io chart of the Betfair exchange shows Klobuchar was 24% second favourite less than a month ago. The paper reports: Ms. Klobuchar, a moderate and veteran of the Senate like Mr. Biden, was known…

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Joe Biden says Trump will have to be “escorted from the White House” if he’s not re-elected

Joe Biden says Trump will have to be “escorted from the White House” if he’s not re-elected

One of the increasing worries about November’s US Presidential election is that Trump might not willingly leave the White House if he fails to get re-elected. The Democratic Party’s presumptive nominee, Joe Biden, is already starting to talk publicly about this concern which has been raised by many others – see the interview with Trevor Noah linked to above. The timing is interesting. The election takes place on November 2nd but the winner will have to wait until the inauguration…

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Weighing up the Biden VP pick betting

Weighing up the Biden VP pick betting

A guest slot by Mr Ed There has been article overnight that appears to be well-informed with those close to the matter that Biden’s choice for VP candidate has narrowed down to six candidates. Elizabeth Warren, Susan Rice and Kamala Harris are specifically mentioned, while the comments suggest that the other three advisors have looked closely at Val Demings, Keisha Lance Bottoms and Michelle Lujan Grisham, the Governor of New Mexico.  I think in these situations, one useful route to…

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The case for betting on a Trump victory in November

The case for betting on a Trump victory in November

A guest slot from Mr. Ed on Why he thinks the President will be re-elected If you don’t want Trump to win in November (which I think is most people on this site), then there is plenty of data out there to give you hope. The RCP national polling average has Biden’s lead over Trump at +7.1%. In key swing states, the RCP average also shows Biden leading in all 5 (FL, PA, WI, NC, AZ) and polls have suggested…

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With the troubles continuing to sweep across the US Biden takes a clear lead in the WH2020 betting

With the troubles continuing to sweep across the US Biden takes a clear lead in the WH2020 betting

These are very troubling times in the United States with the protests and demonstrations sparked off by the murder by police of a black man in Minneapolis taking place every evening in cities and towns right across the country. This comes during a period when the Covid-19 pandemic control measures are still in place across the US and we are only a few months away from November’s presidential election when Donald Trump hopes to get reelected. There’s a widespread view…

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The betting chances of Minnesota Senator Klobuchar getting the VP nomination plummet following the riots sweeping the US

The betting chances of Minnesota Senator Klobuchar getting the VP nomination plummet following the riots sweeping the US

From a 25% chance to a 4% one in a few days The huge story in the US at the moment are the riots in many leading cities which have been set off by the killing of George Floyd by a policeman. Floyd, an African-American, died in Minneapolis on May 25, 2020, when a White Minneapolis police officer, knelt on Floyd’s neck for 8 minutes and 46 seconds. This was all videoed. Minnesota is of course where Klobuchar is from…

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