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Author: TSE

Tory backbenchers warn “Cameron may have to break up the coalition to remain leader”

Tory backbenchers warn “Cameron may have to break up the coalition to remain leader”

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The Sunday Times is reporting that (££) “A growing number of the talented 2010 intake of MPs, who could play a key role in deciding Cameron’s fate, now believe their party should withdraw from the coalition at least a year before the next general election in 2015. They believe Cameron may have to lead a minority government to save seats. “We are the ones who are going to be picking up the pieces if we go down in 2015. The…

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How Ed Miliband compares to his predecessors

How Ed Miliband compares to his predecessors

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Now that we’re just a little under two years from the General Election, I thought it might be useful to see how Dave and Ed compare to the predecessors as Prime Minister and Leader of the Opposition, and used their net approval ratings with Ipsos-Mori In the first of this series, I’m starting with how Ed Miliband compares with his predecessors in terms of net ratings.   A couple of notes about the data. 1) The figure from Margaret Thatcher…

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The 2015 General Election: Will the Liberal Democrats make net gains?

The 2015 General Election: Will the Liberal Democrats make net gains?

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  Yes, you did read that headline correctly, it wasn’t a typo, I am going to discuss whether the Lib Dems can make net gains in parliamentary seats at the 2015 General election, which might seem odd, given the Lib Dems current travails in the polls. Since the start of April, of the 37 polls conducted by YouGov, the Lib Dems have only led UKIP in four of them, averaging 10.4% to UKIP’s 12.8% in that period. In the 16…

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TSE on Making Your Mind Up on who to back at Eurovision.

TSE on Making Your Mind Up on who to back at Eurovision.

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Whilst the polls show Brits remain cynical about Eurovision and think it is all about politics, some of us enjoy Eurovision for that reason, for the music and the betting opportunities. With the elimination of the Former Yugoslavian states of Slovenia, Croatia, Montenegro, Serbia, Macedonia in the semi finals, and Bosnia and Herzegovina withdrawing from the contest, due to financial reasons, there’s a potential for less Balkan bloc voting this time around which could make the final result more open. There are many…

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Ipsos Mori Political Monitor for April

Ipsos Mori Political Monitor for April

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Ipsos Mori Political Monitor for April is out now, the changes are from their last poll in March   Conservatives 29 (+2) Labour 38 (-2) Lib Dems 10 (-1) UKIP 15 (+2)   The UKIP share is the highest share ever for the party in a phone poll On the Leadership ratings Mr Miliband has the highest net satisfaction rating of the three main party leaders, on minus 16 compared with Mr Cameron’s minus 28 and Mr Clegg’s dire minus…

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Corporeal on Lady Thatcher

Corporeal on Lady Thatcher

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Northern Echo: We’ll always remember her #tomorrowspaperstoday twitter.com/hendopolis/sta… — Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) April 17, 2013   With the passing of Margaret Thatcher, many obituaries have been written (or at least dusted off and had the dates filled in) alongside as many pieces about her time in power and that word that hangs over every politician, legacy. What many of them will do at some point is refer to her as “The Grocer’s Daughter” (and this is the title of the…

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PB Nighthawks is now open

PB Nighthawks is now open

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Home of the web’s best political conversation Relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events. If you’ve always been a lurker, this thread is, Especially for you, get, Into the Groove, by posting on PB, become the New Kids On The Block. NEW POLL OUT There’s a new Angus Reid Poll out, the fieldwork was on the 12th-13th of April, the changes are from the last Angus Reid Poll in January. Labour 39 (nc) Conservatives 27 (-3) Lib…

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Electoral reform – Coming sooner than you think?

Electoral reform – Coming sooner than you think?

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A few days ago, Simon Hughes speaking in the Financial Times, about potential future coalition negotiations in 2015, said “If the time did come for more coalition negotiations, the experience of coalition the first time will be clearly taken on board when we think through what we would do a second time. “The constitutional reform agenda and particularly reform of the Lords would have to be a part of the package.” Now a hung parliament is a possibility, especially if the polls continue to narrow…

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