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Author: TSE

The betting strategy if for some reason Trump or Clinton aren’t candidates on election day

The betting strategy if for some reason Trump or Clinton aren’t candidates on election day

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What to do if Trump or Clinton aren’t the candidates on election day? Paddy Power have markets up on whether Trump or Clinton won’t be their party’s Presidential candidate on election day. After all there has been speculation about Trump quitting the race (or the GOP trying to replace him.) But if for whatever reason Trump isn’t the candidate on 8/11/2016 if you wanted to bet on this market, the better strategy might be to back the likely replacements for…

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Cyclefree on the perils of hubris

Cyclefree on the perils of hubris

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“It’s the economy, stupid” has been the default position for electoral campaigns for seemingly forever. It was fundamentally the basis on which Remain campaigned. It appears to be the reason why the Tories are confident that a Corbyn-led Labour party cannot win, not just because of Corbyn himself but because it will be easy to point at how Labour will ruin the economy. But is this truism always true? During our post-referendum summer languor, it may be worth looking at…

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If elected, will Hillary or the Donald be impeached?

If elected, will Hillary or the Donald be impeached?

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Will one of them become the first POTUS to be successfully impeached? Paddy Power have a market up on if Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump will be impeached and resign during their first term. I have a few concerns with this bet, for example the impeachment process against Richard Nixon never completed to full impeachment, as Nixon resigned as President before the House of Representatives formally impeached him, so if something similar happened, this bet wouldn’t pay out, also that…

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The Tories set to re-introduce Fox hunting with hounds if the International Trade Secretary doesn’t wind his neck in

The Tories set to re-introduce Fox hunting with hounds if the International Trade Secretary doesn’t wind his neck in

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Liam Fox and Boris Johnson locked in feud over who controls Britain's foreign policy https://t.co/lmXFdd3A7O — Telegraph Politics (@TelePolitics) August 13, 2016 Taking the 10/1 on Liam Fox being the first cabinet minister to leave the cabinet looks tempting. Today’s Sunday Telegraph has a story which says Liam Fox and Boris Johnson are locked in a bitter Whitehall feud over who controls key parts of Britain’s foreign policy, a leaked letter seen by The Telegraph reveals. Just weeks after the two men joined…

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The 100/1 bet on the next Labour leader that quite a few of us have taken this last week

The 100/1 bet on the next Labour leader that quite a few of us have taken this last week

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At 50/1 Shadow Justice Secretary, Richard Burgon, remains value to be the next Labour leader Earlier on this week I decided to back Richard Burgon to be the next Labour leader at 100/1. My logic was that the Labour party is continually moving strongly towards the Corbynite left, as evidenced by the NEC election results and that the polls indicate that despite the disastrous personal polling that Corbyn has, and the mass no confidence that Labour MPs have in Corbyn,…

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Cyclefree suggests that Smith and Corbyn go back to Labour’s roots

Cyclefree suggests that Smith and Corbyn go back to Labour’s roots

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A guest slot on the contest for the LAB leadership The current fight for the leadership of the Labour Party seems so far to be presented as a choice between who will make the better leader, with the requirements of leadership being defined either as the person most in tune with the membership or the person most able to win votes from non-members.  Nothing unusual about this, you might think.  There seems to be very little difference on policy, as…

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Alastair Meeks argues that any cuts or tax rises caused by BREXIT should be borne primarily by those groups that voted Leave

Alastair Meeks argues that any cuts or tax rises caused by BREXIT should be borne primarily by those groups that voted Leave

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Six weeks on a look at the aftermath and beyond Enough already.  The referendum has been fought and the good guys lost.  The country decided to follow the lead of those pandering to xenophobes and obsessives.  So be it.  What next? Clearly we are not going to get any guidance from those who led the Leave campaign.  Nigel Farage has left the field, Michael Gove has been sent to the sidelines and the three Brexiteer ministers are more concerned about…

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Corbyn remains on the ballot and doesn’t require nominations as Labour donor loses court case

Corbyn remains on the ballot and doesn’t require nominations as Labour donor loses court case

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https://twitter.com/peterwalker99/status/758648548586098688 https://twitter.com/peterwalker99/status/758649170504843264 https://twitter.com/peterwalker99/status/758649630049570816 Corbyn set to win his 2nd Lab leadership race in a year. His fans will say shows he's a winner as Blair only won 1 pic.twitter.com/a6HHnrFOJq — TSE (@TSEofPB) July 28, 2016 TSE