A guest slot from CycleFree on globalisation In her Mansion House speech, May said this about those who viewed the forces of globalization (“this agenda as the answer to all our ills””) in a different light to those who promoted it – “These people – often those on modest to low incomes living in rich countries like our own – see their jobs being outsourced and wages undercut.” She went on: “When you refuse to accept that globalization in its…
Picture: Raheem Kassam’s twitter feed. The tectonic plates are moving, so John Prescott once told us. Boy have they moved this year: we have seen the most almighty earthquake storm. What reverberations can we expect for Brexit from the election of Donald Trump? Is it good news or bad news for Britain? For decades Britain has had a strategy of being a bridge between Europe and the US, through its trading and political links to the EU and its military…
Embed from Getty Images If the first part of this ramble was about the expanse of this divide, and the second wondered what opened it, this is prodding at how deep it runs through society. As political analysts come out of their bunkers try and grapple with what this election really means (beyond the stark fact of President Donald J Trump). We will hear about the need to understand the flyover states, non college-educated whites. Feelings on globalisation and…
Embed from Getty Images If the new battleground is of the elites and the insurgents we need to consider where it came from, whether the seeds of it were present earlier than this run of electoral victories. The Tea Party has disappeared in name but Trump is a strong spiritual successor, while the Occupy movement shows how insurgency and elites is a dividing line that runs across rather than between left and right. In a different world (perhaps one…
Embed from Getty Images Alastair Meeks who accurately predicted the decision of the Article 50 case gives his take on the appeal. The government got given a gut punch by the High Court in the Article 50 case. Its proxies in the press had a meltdown and the government shamefully declined to distance itself from the barrage launched at the judges. (Shamefully and stupidly, as we shall see shortly.) But now the caravan moves on to the Supreme Court where…
Embed from Getty Images In the first of three articles by long-time PBer Corporeal This piece is going to have a lot more questions than answers in it. The defining factor of any political era is not who is winning elections but how are they fought and what they are fought over. What are the battlegrounds. It’s a question you can look at in many ways. Demographic battles over a cast of proverbial characters are fought out in bellwether constituencies…
In the last three hours both Clinton and Trump have been both sub 1.10 and above 11 on Betfair pic.twitter.com/EivApSkQp7 — TSE (@TSEofPB) November 9, 2016 CNN: Hillary Clinton has never once set foot in Wisconsin since winning the Democrat nomination #ElectionNight — Jack Blanchard (@Jack_Blanchard_) November 9, 2016 Frank Luntz at 11.43pm In case I wasn't clear enough from my previous tweets: Hillary Clinton will be the next President of the United States. #ElectionNight — Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) November…
The chart sump the batshit craziness of tonight as Trump becomes the favourite on Betfair. 1am Trump was an 8% chance. £165m matched so far pic.twitter.com/lGWUsmWWMz — TSE (@TSEofPB) November 9, 2016 The NY Times is predicting a Trump victory pic.twitter.com/GUsRCfxxoE — TSE (@TSEofPB) November 9, 2016 The best thing about Trump winning, Brexit might no longer be the most important issue facing the UK — TSE (@TSEofPB) November 9, 2016 FL, NC, and OH are done. It's down to…