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Author: TSE

A look at the betting options if Theresa May falls

A look at the betting options if Theresa May falls

Theresa May’s position currently looks unassailable. Her speech last week was very well received by the public and her opinion poll leads are overwhelming. For now, her honeymoon with voters shows few signs of abating and she stands dominant over the British political scene. But will it last? The times in which there is the greatest consensus about the political future is often the best time to look for betting value. And the course that has to be navigated between…

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The Leader of Surrey County Council – The Unlikeliest Revolutionary

The Leader of Surrey County Council – The Unlikeliest Revolutionary

At a time when the Daily Mail and others are eulogising over Donald Trump and extolling him as a revolutionary (though his “America First” slogan belonged to Charles Lindbergh over 70 years ago), I would argue the week’s true revolutionary is a contemporary of President Trump. Step forward David Hodge CBE, leader of Surrey County Council. This week Hodge announced a referendum for Surrey voters on a proposal to raise Council Tax 15% to fund additional adult social care. It’s…

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Betting on Mrs May outdistancing Mrs Thatcher’s tenure as Prime Minister

Betting on Mrs May outdistancing Mrs Thatcher’s tenure as Prime Minister

William Hill have a market on whether Mrs May being Prime Minister for longer than the country’s first female Prime Minister. To be honest I’m not enthused by either option. To win the  10/1, you’d be tying up your money for the next eleven years, I can think of better things to do with my money than given William Hill an interest free loan for eleven years. For this bet to pay out Mrs May would have to win the…

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Douglas Carswell is my 100/1 tip for next Speaker of the House of Commons

Douglas Carswell is my 100/1 tip for next Speaker of the House of Commons

Back in June 2009 when John Bercow was elected Speaker of the House of Commons he said he would serve for nine years, so if he honours his promise we are around 18 months from the election of a new Speaker. Ladbrokes have put up a market on who the new Speaker will be, I understand why Lindsay Hoyle is the joint favourite, he has widely praised for his performances as Deputy Speaker, but given the 100/1 odds on Carswell…

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Cyclefree asks are Banks the new Unions?

Cyclefree asks are Banks the new Unions?

Embed from Getty Images Back in the 1970’s unions were seen – and saw themselves – as a key constituency whom government had to listen to and consult.  Whether beer and sandwiches were actually served at Number 10 was less important than the perception and the reality that governments felt that it was wise to consult the unions on industrial matters and wider economic policy.  And this was done because of a desire to achieve consensus, to be seen as…

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Timing is everything. A review of Theresa May’s speech

Timing is everything. A review of Theresa May’s speech

Embed from Getty Images   There is a tide in the affairs of men. Which, taken at the flood, leads on to fortune; Omitted, all the voyage of their life Is bound in shallows and in miseries. On such a full sea are we now afloat, And we must take the current when it serves, Or lose our ventures. Julius Caesar Act 4, scene 3, 218–224 Whatever else you think of Brexit, we are being led by powerful currents taking…

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This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast looks at Theresa May’s speech and looks ahead to Trump’s inauguration

This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast looks at Theresa May’s speech and looks ahead to Trump’s inauguration

This week’s podcast is split into two parts. In part one, Keiran is joined in the studio by Adam Drummond, Head of Political Polling at Opinium. Keiran and Adam discuss all things data in the aftermath of Theresa May’s big Brexit speech. They discuss the public’s reaction to May’s speech, attitudes to ‘Hard’ and ‘Soft’ Brexits (and why numbers are not always what they seem), immigration polling, May’s approval ratings and polling on the NHS. Keiran also explains why he…

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Want to bet on footage of that golden shower appearing on a porn site? Yes WEE Can

Want to bet on footage of that golden shower appearing on a porn site? Yes WEE Can

Paddy Power have some Donald Trump specials up, to be honest most of these appear to be taking the piss, as it were, and serve to act as an excellent way to contribute to Paddy Power’s bonus fund. For example take the bet on the golden shower footage to appear on porn website ‘RedTube’, not being an expert (sexpert?) on niche websites like this, I believe there are many many many more websites of this nature on the internet, that…

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