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Author: TSE

What’s wrong with this picture?

What’s wrong with this picture?

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Under the Conservatives, there are more people in work than ever before. pic.twitter.com/SCWM2LoAuW — Conservatives (@Conservatives) September 13, 2017 High employment and low wage growth Another month goes by and another month of extremely confusing employment data.  The good news is astoundingly good: record levels of employment, 40 year lows of unemployment and record numbers of job vacancies per unemployed person.  These are statistics that would indicate a booming economy and you would normally expect rapid wage growth.  Indeed, economists…

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Infamy, infamy, they’ve all got in for May

Infamy, infamy, they’ve all got in for May

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The front page of The Sunday Telegraph. Sunday Times says Gove & Boris have mended their relationship. Feels like the end game for Mrs May pic.twitter.com/R8rBnaEcYG — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 16, 2017 This is starting to feel like the end of IDS. He also went shortly after a Tory Party conference. https://t.co/IgFkK1zOhr — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 16, 2017 Infamy, infamy, they've all got in for May. https://t.co/FnekAmpL3d — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 16, 2017 TSE

Boris has blown it again

Boris has blown it again

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In the aftermath of the referendum, the job of Prime Minister seemed to be Boris Johnson’s for the taking.  As one of the leaders of the Leave campaign with proven star quality and the intellectual backing of Michael Gove, he looked to be clear on goal.  But from six yards out he skied it over the bar.  Somehow he lost the backing of Michael Gove and he withdrew. The eventual victor, Theresa May, made him Foreign Secretary but it rapidly…

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It is either bye bye Boris or bye bye Theresa, or bye bye both of them

It is either bye bye Boris or bye bye Theresa, or bye bye both of them

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Saturday's Daily TELEGRAPH: "Boris: yes, we WILL take back £350m from EU for NHS" #bbcpapers #tomorrowspaperstoday pic.twitter.com/YVZyhBQJxO — Allie Hodgkins-Brown (@AllieHBNews) September 15, 2017 https://twitter.com/timothy_stanley/status/908791853151145985 Is Boris going to put this on the side of his leadership campaign bus? pic.twitter.com/LhaRRRhWtd — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 15, 2017 Boris Johnson told No10 he wouldn't comment before Theresa's speech. Now he's defying her with his own red lines https://t.co/WYJOEYv0ZU — Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) September 15, 2017 Yes! Here we go, here we…

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Betting on the number of tweets by Donald Trump next week

Betting on the number of tweets by Donald Trump next week

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Paddy Power have a market up on how many times Donald Trump will tweet from his @RealDonaldTrump account between the 18th and 24th of September. The website twittercounter has analysed Trump’s twitter account, and over the last 30 days he’s averaging six tweets per day, so over a week, we should expect something around 42 tweets per week, so by my reckoning the 11/1 on 31-40 tweets represents value. However I’m not comfortable on staking much on someone as volatile as…

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Previewing tonight’s 3 by elections

Previewing tonight’s 3 by elections

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Three council by-elections tonight. One Conservative defence, one Labour, one UKIP. See @andrewteale's previews: https://t.co/rLuNwWrtqk — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) September 14, 2017 TSE

Mrs May’s Italian job could see Boris quit

Mrs May’s Italian job could see Boris quit

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Downing Street puts Boris on "flounce-watch"https://t.co/tHZSpfJQBR — Francis Elliott (@elliottengage) September 14, 2017 You’re only supposed to blow the bloody doors off Mrs May, not lose your Foreign Secretary. Overnight it was revealed that Mrs May will give a speech in Florence a week on Friday. The Telegraph says [she will] set out her vision of post-Brexit Britain in her most important speech about the EU since January. Downing Street announced that the Prime Minister would speak in Italy on Friday,…

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Porn in the U.S.A.

Porn in the U.S.A.

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I’ve always felt the topics of the betting markets are an indicator of how parties, governments, and leaders are doing. This market by the famously publicity shy bookmaker Paddy Power sums up the Trump Presidency, this is the sort of market I’d expect to see about Silvio Berlusconi, if a Trump Presidency was going well, we wouldn’t get a market like this. With Russian politicians openly boasting they have compromising information on Trump and Russian intelligence stole the American Presidency…

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