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Jacob Rees-Mogg might not even be a Tory MP at the time of the next Tory leadership contest

Jacob Rees-Mogg might not even be a Tory MP at the time of the next Tory leadership contest

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.@Jacob_Rees_Mogg on transition deal: “We cannot be a colony of the EU for two years from 2019 to 2021, accepting new laws that are made without any say-so from the British people, parliament or government…that is being a vassal state of the EU” #newsnight pic.twitter.com/PVMWYDnrgB — BBC Newsnight (@BBCNewsnight) December 15, 2017 Could JRM be without the Tory whip at the time of the next leadership contest? One of the reasons I’m laying Jacob Rees-Mogg in the next Tory leader/PM…

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It’s not easy being Green but he’s expected to be cleared on Wednesday

It’s not easy being Green but he’s expected to be cleared on Wednesday

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Damian Green will keep his job as First Minister, I am told by three well-placed sources. There should be confirmation on Wednesday https://t.co/WqEN3lAE3z — Robert Peston (@Peston) December 11, 2017 Mrs May’s week looks to keep on getting better. Robert Peston reports I am told by three well-placed sources that Theresa May’s deputy, the First Secretary of State Damian Green, will be informed on Wednesday by the Cabinet Office and his boss the PM that he does not need to…

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Nick Robinson says the “very widespread expectation in Westminster is that Damian Green will resign in the next few days”

Nick Robinson says the “very widespread expectation in Westminster is that Damian Green will resign in the next few days”

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I’m smelling toast. https://t.co/LQg5efbbcU pic.twitter.com/yLRYCbhBmN — TSE (@TSEofPB) December 10, 2017 After her best week as PM, it might be back to the status quo for Mrs May. The Sunday Times are reporting that A male associate of Damian Green has approached the Cabinet Office inquiry into the conduct of the deputy prime minister and spoken in support of the woman who had accused the politician of sexual misconduct. The man, who works in a sensitive position and does not want…

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It is time to salute the brilliance of the visionary that is Diane Abbott

It is time to salute the brilliance of the visionary that is Diane Abbott

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Another reminder not to dismiss seemingly outlandish political predictions A year ago this weekend Diane Abbott made this prediction Labour will be level-pegging with the Conservatives within a year, Diane Abbott has said amid more woeful polling for Jeremy Corbyn’s party. Labour slumped to fourth place in the Sleaford and North Hykeham by-election this week, while the Conservatives enjoyed a 17-point lead over the official opposition in a YouGov survey on Friday. The Shadow Home Secretary suggested the party’s recent poor showing…

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NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: What do the DUP want? Will there be a united Ireland? Why do Survation have Labour +8 when others don’t? (and more)

NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: What do the DUP want? Will there be a united Ireland? Why do Survation have Labour +8 when others don’t? (and more)

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On this week’s podcast, Keiran is joined by Mick Fealty of Slugger O’Toole to discuss what the DUP really wants from Brexit negotiations, the role that Irish domestic politics is playing and will play moving forward plus a new poll apparently showing support in Northern Ireland for a united Ireland with EU membership. Also on the show, Keiran looks at the recent Survation poll showing Labour +8 ahead and why it is so different to what other pollsters have and dissects some data…

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