Browsed by
Author: TSE

Tipping point. Why Scotland’s ultimate independence now looks inevitable

Tipping point. Why Scotland’s ultimate independence now looks inevitable

Comments 0 Comment

Wednesday was not one of those days when it was difficult to tell the difference between a ray of sunshine and a Scotsman with a grievance.  The SNP launched a choreographed flounce from the House of Commons following a spat between their leader Ian Blackford and the Speaker over the treatment of Scotland’s position in the Brexit debates. The government was quick to accuse the SNP of pulling a stunt and of manufacturing discontent.  It’s certainly true that the SNP haven’t exactly…

Read More Read More

The lastest Lewisham East odds and expectations

The lastest Lewisham East odds and expectations

Comments 0 Comment

With less than 2 hours of voting left the Lewisham East by election and an easy Labour hold looks like the market expectation with the Lib Dems in second. I wonder if the value is backing the turnout at sub 30% at 12/1 pic.twitter.com/nGs9m3wfEk — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 14, 2018 If there's a Lab to LD swing in Lewisham East then that's not the sort of performance that indicates Labour are on course to form the next government. — TSE…

Read More Read More

NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: Trump meets Kim and Brexit edges closer

NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: Trump meets Kim and Brexit edges closer

Comments 0 Comment

On this week’s Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi discuss Trump’s historic meeting with Kim Jong Un in Singapore. Keiran and Leo debate the significance of the meeting and what happens now whilst Keiran takes us through the latest polling on Trump in America that shows what his re-election campaign might look like, why he remains in a tough spot and why these negotiations with North Korea could make or break him. Later in the show, Keiran and…

Read More Read More

This looks like a spectacular bust up between the SNP and the Speaker but it does look staged

This looks like a spectacular bust up between the SNP and the Speaker but it does look staged

Comments 0 Comment

WATCH: SNP leader @IanBlackfordMP gets thrown out of the Commons and his MPs follow pic.twitter.com/1sgWkJOCsH — PoliticsHome (@politicshome) June 13, 2018 https://twitter.com/elashton/status/1006862131898306560 SNP MPs due to stage a mass-walkout from Parliament for the media. — Aubrey Allegretti (@breeallegretti) June 13, 2018 Dare I suggest that being thrown out of the chamber was precisely what Ian Blackford wanted? John Bercow played straight into his hands. #PMQs — Kevin Schofield (@KevinASchofield) June 13, 2018 Ian Blackford and the other SNP MPs held…

Read More Read More

Threatened women live longest. Bet against Theresa May going quickly

Threatened women live longest. Bet against Theresa May going quickly

Comments 0 Comment

We read in the weekend papers that the Brexiters within the Conservative party are mustering for an attempt in July to despatch Theresa May, once Royal Assent has been received to the withdrawal bill.  Sources close to David Davis and Jacob Rees-Mogg are covering their retreat in the face of the Prime Minister’s obduracy over future customs arrangements with the EU with a hail of Parthian shots.  Her opponents already have 42 MPs ready to lodge letters for a vote…

Read More Read More

Soon there might not be a single Tory MP not p*ssed off at Theresa May’s duplicity (and or incompetence)

Soon there might not be a single Tory MP not p*ssed off at Theresa May’s duplicity (and or incompetence)

Comments 0 Comment

Finally, after 2 hours of silence from No10, a statement: DexEU spokesman: "We have not, and will not, agree to the House of Commons binding the Government's hands in the negotiations". Grieve et al thought the PM just had. — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) June 12, 2018 1. Robert Buckland tells me govt agreed to 'further discussions' about Grieve amendment that may, or may not result in a change – that is simply not what Tory rebels believe the PM…

Read More Read More

Despite an overwhelming majority of voters thinking Brexit is going badly, a similar overwhelming majority still expect Britain to leave the EU

Despite an overwhelming majority of voters thinking Brexit is going badly, a similar overwhelming majority still expect Britain to leave the EU

Comments 0 Comment

Whether or not you support it, do you think Britain will or will not go ahead with leaving the European Union:All Brits: 70% leave, 15% stayLeave: 77% leave, 13% stayRemain: 69% leave, 18% stay https://t.co/rHXCuZ3WKm pic.twitter.com/jHGXlT8zoB — YouGov (@YouGov) June 8, 2018 On Saturday I alerted PBers to the fact that 70% of voters thought Brexit was going badly, a near identical amount, 73%, expect the Britain to leave the European Union. For those hoping the original polling might be…

Read More Read More

Peace in our time but not for long as Mrs May will soon run out of road to kick the can

Peace in our time but not for long as Mrs May will soon run out of road to kick the can

Comments 0 Comment

Here it is – “unity amendment”“Customs Arrangement as part of the framework for the future partnership” Signed byOliver LetwinNicky MorganBill CashJacob Rees MoggStephen HammondJohn HayesJohn BaronTheresa Villiers pic.twitter.com/ftcnTqnRAS — Faisal Islam (@faisalislam) June 11, 2018 Quite a collection of Tory MPs who fundamentally disagree on the direction of travel on Brexit – and the amendment only commits to a Government statement “outlining steps” towards a “customs arrangement” by 31st Oct 2018.Another fudegorama.No Grieve, Soubry, etc… — Faisal Islam (@faisalislam) June…

Read More Read More