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Author: TSE

Looking back over 2018: Alastair Meeks reviews his predictions

Looking back over 2018: Alastair Meeks reviews his predictions

It’s that time of year when everyone makes predictions about what is coming up.  Oddly, you get rather fewer articles looking back at the previous year’s predictions. Funny that. I make predictions each year to set out my considered thoughts and to see where they went wrong, in an effort to see where I can get better when assessing scenarios for my betting. So how did I do twelve months ago? For once, not too badly at all. I made…

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This could have been the moment that Cameron and his mother ensured Corbyn would one day become PM

This could have been the moment that Cameron and his mother ensured Corbyn would one day become PM

After the referendum Dave’s worst blunder as leader? Just before Jeremy Corbyn became Labour leader in September 2015 I wrote a piece for PB offering Jeremy Corbyn some fashion advice. That piece was inspired by the fact that earlier on that summer I had visited the House of Commons and has seen Jeremy Corbyn living up to the Steptoe Corbyn meme and I wasn’t sure to give Corbyn some loose change. It wasn’t just me who thought Corbyn had dire…

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Dangerous corner. Where would we be now if Remain had won 52:48?

Dangerous corner. Where would we be now if Remain had won 52:48?

The musical cigarette box played the Wedding March. Britain chose narrowly but decisively to vote to leave the EU. One of the frustrations with the universe that we live in is that we never get to see what would have happened if things had panned out differently.   What if the country had chosen differently? Imagine if Remain had won by the same narrow margin.  Where would we be now? Here’s one possibility… David Cameron had got so far sketching…

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The gilded cage. How the DUP are using the new rules of the game to trap the Conservatives

The gilded cage. How the DUP are using the new rules of the game to trap the Conservatives

Board games are always a good source of arguments. There seem to be as many views on how to play Monopoly as families. Some place all fines in the centre, to be collected by anyone who lands on Free Parking. Some don’t allow rents to be collected in Jail. Views differ on what is to be done with the properties of bankrupt players. It is important to establish the rules in advance if you want to avoid unseemly rows. Parliamentary…

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Theresa May’s next move

Theresa May’s next move

  Theresa May’s great political skill, the driving force behind her career, has been the ability to keep her head down. The virtue of ducking out of the firing line is an important one in British politics. When promotion often comes through dead man’s shoes there is a delicate art to making sure others get hit by the flak, of walking through the food fight and coming out only mildly custard-stained. When the other leading figures in your party destroy…

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NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast. May fights on – so what now?

NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast. May fights on – so what now?

On this week’s podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look back at events in a frantic week at Westminster. They debate whether May was right to postpone the meaningful vote, whether a change in leader would have any impact on Brexit negotiations and the prospect of another referendum breaking the parliamentary deadlock. Listen to this week’s episode below: Follow this week’s podcast guests: Follow @KeiranPedley Follow @LeoBarasi Tweet

Immigration, immigration, immigration – it hasn’t gone away you know.

Immigration, immigration, immigration – it hasn’t gone away you know.

Immigration was one of the major issues in the referendum debate. The influx of several million Europeans coming to a country which had made no serious effort to accommodate its biggest ever increase in population changed the political landscape and enabled in no small way the decision to leave the EU. Since the vote the immigration issue has appeared to become less important. In part this is because immigration from Europe has reduced in the last two years. Improved wages at…

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BACK TO THE FUTURE – Part 2 The past is a foreign country – Remainers and Leavers are in for surprises

BACK TO THE FUTURE – Part 2 The past is a foreign country – Remainers and Leavers are in for surprises

In the previous article I highlighted how UK politicians have become so entrenched in their  insular debate that they are effectively ignoring the significant changes sweeping Europe. One can argue that our MPs primary focus has become to smash the other side rather than look at what is best for the country. So perhaps they should take some time to look beyond these shores and see how the politics are lining up. REMAINERS Congratulations! We are staying in! Enjoy the…

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