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Author: TSE

Labour’s path to victory. The seats that could put Labour in power

Labour’s path to victory. The seats that could put Labour in power

Link to the map above Imagine, if you will, Jeremy Corbyn beaming and waving from the steps of 10 Downing Street, installed in power after a general election victory. On most current polls this looks unlikely: Labour are well adrift, perhaps as much as 10 points behind the Conservatives. Politics, however, is particularly volatile at present and Labour managed to turn around a much bigger deficit than that in 2017. Such fantasies or nightmares cannot be dismissed as fanciful just…

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Something has changed. For the first time I can see how Brexit is delayed and/or revoked and it is all thanks to the ERG

Something has changed. For the first time I can see how Brexit is delayed and/or revoked and it is all thanks to the ERG

Cartoon by Marf I’ve been betting on the assumption of leaving the EU at the end of the month with No Deal for quite some time for the following reasons Brexit: It’s the law that we exit on the 29th of March 2019 No matter how many times MPs vote to say they are opposed to No Deal they need to pass primary legislation to stop No Dea and I think they’ve run out of time to do so. Donkeys…

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Ed Miliband’s ‘immorality’ might explain why he lost the 2015 general election and why voters never really took to him

Ed Miliband’s ‘immorality’ might explain why he lost the 2015 general election and why voters never really took to him

Anthropologists at Oxford University have identified what they believe to be seven universal moral rules. We asked Brits which they thought was the single most important:Help your family – 38%Divide resources fairly – 18%Respect others' property – 16%https://t.co/WoS2oPccRe pic.twitter.com/gwMcQtgh8r — YouGov (@YouGov) March 1, 2019 Being seen as the worst brother since Cain didn’t help Ed Miliband chances of becoming Prime Minister I’m fascinated by this polling by YouGov about the seven universal moral rules as developed by anthropologists from…

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Conservative approach. The seats that will decide whether the Conservatives will form the next government

Conservative approach. The seats that will decide whether the Conservatives will form the next government

Link to the map above. Ready for another general election? The last one was less than two years ago but with a hung Parliament dealing with a hugely controversial central question, the threat of another constantly hangs over us. Personally, I very much doubt whether we will see one before the due date in 2022 but as any Boy Scout would tell you, we would do well to be prepared. In theory there should be a boundary review implemented in…

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Fringe concerns. Why all the focus on anti-Semitism in the Labour party?

Fringe concerns. Why all the focus on anti-Semitism in the Labour party?

Imagine, if you will, that Labour sweep to power under Jeremy Corbyn. There is much that an avowedly socialist government would wish to do. No doubt it would look at nationalising key industries. It would open up the spigots of the Treasury, letting its funds gush into any number of spending channels. It would look to make irreversible redistributions of wealth.   What it would not do, however, is seek to redraw the boundaries of the Middle East – it…

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This week’s podcast focuses on Labour including why an early election is better for the party and how it should respond to TIG

This week’s podcast focuses on Labour including why an early election is better for the party and how it should respond to TIG

On this week’s podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by former adviser to Tony Blair and Gordon Brown, Theo Bertram. Theo shares some stories of working in Number 10, gives his thoughts on Labour’s current situation (and whether Corbyn can bounce back again) and discusses how Labour should manage the many problems they currently face. Listen to this week’s episode below: Follow this week’s guests, Follow @KeiranPedley Follow @TheoBertram Tweet

A second referendum conducted under AV maybe the only way to end the Brexit impasse

A second referendum conducted under AV maybe the only way to end the Brexit impasse

If Parliament is unable to come to a resolution on Brexit then perhaps they might send it back to the people. Recents events makes me think we’re headed for another referendum on all things Brexit, so the only question and options is what will be on the ballot paper. Why I think a Remain option will end up on the ballot paper is twofold. Firstly Parliament has to legislate for another referendum and given the the make up of Parliament…

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In this week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast: LAB’s Brexit shift, TIG voters vs the SDP & EU parliament elections

In this week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast: LAB’s Brexit shift, TIG voters vs the SDP & EU parliament elections

On this week’s podcast, Keiran Pedley and Matt Singh look at the numbers around Labour’s policy on a second Brexit vote and discuss the popularity of The Independent Group, comparing their potential impact to that of the SDP in the 1980s. Meanwhile, Matt unveils some exclusive polling on how Britain could vote in EU parliament elections should Article 50 be extended (& should Brits get to vote in them). Listen to the episode below Follow this week’s guests: Follow @KeiranPedley…

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