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Author: TSE

Very shortly the credibility of so many Tory leavers could be in tatters and that has betting implications

Very shortly the credibility of so many Tory leavers could be in tatters and that has betting implications

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Michael Gove 2016 > "The day after we leave, we hold all the cards" Michael Gove 2019 > “It’s a grim but inescapable fact that in the event of a no-deal Brexit tariffs on beef and sheep meat would be above 40%”#PieceOfShit pic.twitter.com/dFOPRklr3V — Marie-Ann Detests Tories ?? ?? ?? (@MarieAnnUK) March 20, 2019 Like David Herdson I fear that No Deal is imminent and likely, especially with 170 Tory MPs in favour of it, so what are the implications…

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This is not an early April Fools’ Day story. Iain Duncan Smith looking to succeed Theresa May. I REPEAT THIS IS NOT AN EARLY APRIL FOOLS’ DAY STORY

This is not an early April Fools’ Day story. Iain Duncan Smith looking to succeed Theresa May. I REPEAT THIS IS NOT AN EARLY APRIL FOOLS’ DAY STORY

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Iain Duncan Smith eyes second spell as Tory leader as he considers throwing hat into ring to succeed PMhttps://t.co/m3mBiYerB0 pic.twitter.com/kI6FXinrRC — Mirror World News (@MirrorWorldNews) March 30, 2019 Why I’m not betting on the quiet man succeeding Mrs May. When I first saw the tweet above my reaction was a mixture of laughter and language not fit to be published on a family friendly website like politicalbetting. But once I read the story I’m quite prepared to bet a lot…

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Viewcode on the chronicle of a bet foretold

Viewcode on the chronicle of a bet foretold

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It is 11pm on March 21st 2019 as I write this. Press releases from EUCO indicate that an unconditional extension is granted to the UK, rendering my bet on departing the EU on March 29th lost. It may be instructive therefore to examine the bet: its aim, placement, and implications. THE MOTIVE I bet from a variety of motives. There is the desire to know the world and measure myself against it, to commit to a prediction, simple greed, and…

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It appears the cabinet has decided to take back control from Theresa May but can they decide who will be the one in control?

It appears the cabinet has decided to take back control from Theresa May but can they decide who will be the one in control?

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?BREAKING: A full blown cabinet coup is under way tonight to remove Theresa May as prime minister ? — Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) March 23, 2019 I have spoken to 11 cabinet ministers today who want the prime minister to resign. They will confront her at cabinet on Monday — Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) March 23, 2019 Cabinet coup plotters want to install an interim leader to deliver Brexit. There is good support for David Lidington but others pushing Michael Gove and…

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As we approach the slightly later than planned day of reckoning

As we approach the slightly later than planned day of reckoning

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Has Britain finally reached a decision point? Still the outcome seems in doubt. Many others are writing about what comes next. But how did we get here? Failure is an orphan and no one is taking credit for the current mess. There is plenty of blame to go round though and we can dole out lavish helpings. First of all, we should note that it wasn’t inevitable that there would be a decision point now. No attempt was made by…

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In the latest from PB/Polling Matters the podcasters try to answer ” What’s going on and what do the public think?”

In the latest from PB/Polling Matters the podcasters try to answer ” What’s going on and what do the public think?”

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  After a breath-taking week, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi sit down and look at the numbers. What do the public think about how Brexit is going, the prospect of no deal and where we go from here? Plus, if a General Election comes, who stands the best chance of winning? Listen to this week’s episode here: Follow this week’s guests Follow @KeiranPedley Follow @LeoBarasi Tweet

Betting on a Peterborough by election in 2019

Betting on a Peterborough by election in 2019

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A 16% return in just over a month? This market by Ladbrokes is not on the result of any potential by election but whether there will be one in 2019. The recall petition in Peterborough opens on Tuesday and ends on the 1st of May 2019 meaning this bet will pay out in a little over six weeks. I think the nature of the conviction and claiming a salary whilst in prison would enrage voters in all circumstances. Coupled with the…

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