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Author: TSE

Happy anniversary. Brexit three years on from the referendum

Happy anniversary. Brexit three years on from the referendum

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Year four in the Big Brexit house and the housemates are not getting any happier. The referendum vote saw off one Prime Minister immediately and a second is shortly to be evicted from Number 10 before Britain has left the EU. It’s entirely possible that Theresa May’s replacement might be ousted before Brexit is implemented too. Before contemplating the fate of the next Conservative leader, let’s start by looking at how the country is shaping up now. It’s not looking…

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The voters are beginning to see that Boris Johnson is not the Messiah but a very naughty boy

The voters are beginning to see that Boris Johnson is not the Messiah but a very naughty boy

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Polling June 19-20 included Conservative leadership head to heads featuring Boris Johnson vs Jeremy Hunt. This was repeated in another poll conducted today, between 1pm and 5pm. pic.twitter.com/8yRWHVRVFL — Survation. (@Survation) June 22, 2019 Will those Tory members who decide will recoil from Boris Johnson given recent events? The Mail on Sunday says Boris Johnson’s bust-up with girlfriend Carrie Symonds has handed a shock poll lead to his leadership rival Jeremy Hunt. Two exclusive surveys by this newspaper – one…

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Meanwhile in that other leadership race…

Meanwhile in that other leadership race…

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Dr Foxy on how the Swinson Davey battle is shaping up Understandably the focus of political interest and betting is on the contest to succeed Theresa May as leader of the Conservative Party, and most likely Prime Minister. This does rather overshadow the ongoing contest for the leadership of the Liberal Democrat Party, which finds itself in the rather unfamiliar position of rude health. Having had some excellent results in both Local Elections and in the recent Euro elections, Vince…

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The latest PB / Polling Matters podcast asks two big questions about Johnson: Is his victory now inevitable and is he a vote winner?

The latest PB / Polling Matters podcast asks two big questions about Johnson: Is his victory now inevitable and is he a vote winner?

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  Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi look at the numbers and ask whether Johnson is a shoo-in to be the next Prime Minister and whether or not he is the vote winner that some say he is. Listen to the episode here: Follow this week’s guests: Follow @KeiranPedley Follow @LeoBarasi Tweet

Addicted to Gove. The Bizarre Gove Triangle involving, Gove, cocaine, and the Tory leadership

Addicted to Gove. The Bizarre Gove Triangle involving, Gove, cocaine, and the Tory leadership

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The problem for Gove isn't that that this a law an order issue. It's a class issue. "One rule for them, one rule for you and me". And at the moment, I don't see how he neutralises it. — (((Dan Hodges))) (@DPJHodges) June 9, 2019 This is what I was talking about. And if it turns out to be true, I don't actually see how Gove stays in the race. https://t.co/ZxhaYbHnB3 — (((Dan Hodges))) (@DPJHodges) June 9, 2019 Sajid Javid…

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Gove’s white lines are a red line for a majority of the electorate

Gove’s white lines are a red line for a majority of the electorate

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And now with Michael Gove admitting to cocaine use when he was younger, we found that 56% of Brits think this should disqualify someone from top office https://t.co/997tPlJLel — YouGov (@YouGov) June 7, 2019 Has Gove blown his chance of becoming Prime Minister? I’m still reeling from the news that broke late on Friday night that Michael Gove admitted doing cocaine in his previous career as a journalist. Team Gove would also be reeling when reading that polling from YouGov…

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It was exactly two years ago today that Brexit, if it happens, inexorably changed

It was exactly two years ago today that Brexit, if it happens, inexorably changed

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Video: The moment the 2017 exit poll was announced When the history of Brexit is written I suspect the 8th of June 2017 will be seen as the most momentous day in Brexit history, even more so than June 23rd 2016. The moment Mrs May lost David Cameron’s majority might be the seen as the moment the Brexit mandate was superseded by those opposed to a No Deal Brexit, indeed Labour’s manifesto was explicit in that, nor did it commit…

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Some analysis of the Tory leadership race and why the hardline No Deal Brexiteers might end up struggling in the MP stage of voting

Some analysis of the Tory leadership race and why the hardline No Deal Brexiteers might end up struggling in the MP stage of voting

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Friday leadership race update (using @GuidoFawkes totals): Johnson 45Gove 30Hunt 27Raab 22 Javid 16Hancock 12Harper 6McVey 5Stewart 5Leadsom 3Gyimah 3 — Dom Walsh (@DomWalsh13) June 7, 2019 Here's how the support for the different candidates stacks up according to voting record on the deal. As a whole, rebels breaking heavily for Johnson and Raab – but Johnson is also doing well with pro-deal MPs, especially junior ministers: pic.twitter.com/ltbAZS4gbI — Dom Walsh (@DomWalsh13) June 7, 2019 174 MPs have declared; 139…

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