politicalbetting.com

An axiom I believe in is that success equals performance minus anticipation, based on this polling the public expect some new restrictions to be brought in for the Christmas period. I’m a bit more optimistic because of our vaccine rollout and booster strategy has generally been pretty good, which should negate the need for any restrictions. The contrast with Europe’s looming Covid-19 should provide a good contrast for the UK government. Over the last twenty months the polling in this…

Read More Read More

For those of us who campaigned for the Tories in the 1997/2001/2005 general elections we can attest how corrosive sleaze was to the Tory cause. It probably took a decade plus of a Labour government, led by that pretty straight sort of guy Tony Blair, for perceptions of sleaze to be more associated with Labour than the Tories, like an STD, sleaze is bloody difficult for the Tories to get rid off. With Boris Johnson’s leadership risking turning the mother…

Read More Read More

Once the government executed the u turn on matters related to Owen Paterson his tenure as a member of parliament seemed doubtful. I suspect the Tories will hold the seat, I would have had my doubts if we had gone down the recall process, I don’t think a near 23,000 majority is at risk. I suspect the damage from this shabby, sleazy, and ignoble process will be long term damage to the Prime Minister and the Tory Party, coupled if…

Read More Read More

Just look at some of the sporting knighthoods awarded the last twenty-five years. Sir Lewis Hamilton, Sir Andy Murray, Sir Alex Ferguson, Sir Bobby Robson, Sir Kenny Dalglish, Sir Geoff Hurst, Sir Mo Farah, Sir Bradley Wiggins, Sir Geoff. Boycott, Sir Andrew Strauss, Sir Alastair Cook, Sir Steve Redgrave, Sir Matthew Pinsent, Sir Clive Woodward, Sir Ian McGeechan, and Sir Ben Ainslie. Looking at that not quite exhaustive list there’s a thread of them being (world) record breaking/world/European champions/Olympic winning…

Read More Read More