I have to confess I’m a little surprised by this finding that shows a de facto tie between the right and wrong over opening a coal mine, I was expecting more opposition to the opening of this coal mine. I think the public get the nuance of the situation, Vladimir Putin’s actions have made this inevitable and don’t hold it against the government in the way they do the energy crisis. As somebody who grew up in South Yorkshire in…
I suspect when it comes to the next general election the voters who struggled to heat their homes as much as they wanted to will cause huge problems for the Tories. In isolation it would be problematic for the Tories, when you put it into the context of Tory sleaze, such as the PPE scandals, will be utterly toxic. TSE
Good Lord, the optics from the Tory government are awful, they really are, every time I have doubts about Labour winning an outright majority at the next election then some chump like Zahawi comes out with nonsense like this. I note with interest that the Tory client vote weren’t asked to accept a huge real terms cut to their state pensions. TSE
I was born a few weeks before the Winter of Discontent starred, I fear I’m going to fully experience a new Winter of Discontent this year in fact this is shaping up to be a de facto General Strike and we’ve not had one of those in nearly a century. What makes this period of industrial strife feel different is the sheer number of professions on strike, including the truly best of society, such as nurses and lawyers, without who…
After the result in Chester Peter Kellner published a piece which said In all fifteen “big swing” by-elections between 1958 and 2012, the difference between the implied national lead and what actually happened was at least 12 percentage points, and after all but three of the by-elections the drop was more than twenty points. For example, ten years ago, Labour gained Corby on a similar swing to this year’s two comparable by-elections, Wakefield and Chester. But in Corby, Labour’s baseline…
Recently I worked out I had a relationship that lasted substantially fewer days than the premiership of Liz Truss, once I overcame the embarrassment of having such a short relationship I started to wonder what the future would hold for Liz Truss, the country’s shortest serving Prime Minister. There’s this market from William Hill about whether Liz Truss will still be an MP after the next general election. The economic herpes that is inflation alone makes backing No a very…
Over the next few weeks I’ll be looking at the reasons why I’m doubtful about Labour winning a majority (which doesn’t mean I’m not laying a Tory majority), one of the reasons is Brexit. Looking at those findings from YouGov, these type of findings aren’t atypical about Brexit from various pollsters. 2% of Brits think Brexit has gone very well, whereas 7% of Brits say they have seen a UFO, so yes, more than 3 times the number of Brits…
This tribute from Times Radio to Sir David Butler, who died earlier on this week, is well worth watching. For those of us who follow elections and analyse them the work of Sir David Butler helped us understand them a lot better. The Guardian wrote on Wednesday Sir David Butler, the father of modern election science whose career spanned more than 70 years, has died at the aged of 98. Butler’s friend and biographer, the journalist Michael Crick, paid tribute…