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Author: MikeSmithson

New GE2015 projection from Oxford political scientist, Stephen Fisher, suggests that Tories have 57 pc chance of a majority

New GE2015 projection from Oxford political scientist, Stephen Fisher, suggests that Tories have 57 pc chance of a majority

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I have enormous respect for political scientist, Oxford's @StephenDFisher He was key member of team behind the GE2010 exit poll — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 25, 2013 GE2015 forecast from Oxford's @StephenDFisher Con : 337 Lab : 265 LD : 21 Con majority of 24 http://t.co/t833vBpSsa — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 25, 2013 You can read Stephen’s piece and all the projections here.

Who knows? The public could get a taste for public ownership

Who knows? The public could get a taste for public ownership

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The Henry G Manson Friday column For the last 30 years we’ve heard Prime Ministers Thatcher, Major, Blair and Cameron argue for policies of privatisation, private finance initiatives, public-private partnerships and so on. Whether it’s our utilities or our postal service the belief in the inherent private sector has been steadfast. The private sector failure running the East Coast Main Line led to the state running a portion of Britain’s rail again – and successfully. Our ministers are happy for…

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With with less than 11 month to go before the IndyRef SNP lose the Dunfermline Scottish Parliament by-election to LAB

With with less than 11 month to go before the IndyRef SNP lose the Dunfermline Scottish Parliament by-election to LAB

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@ScottishPol: Victorious Lab candidate Cara Hilton arrives at #Dunfermline count pic.twitter.com/tG4K6nwuvB — Tom Gordon (@ScottishPol) October 25, 2013 LAB GAIN from SNP Dunfermline Scottish Parliament by-election Lab10,275 SNP 7,402 LD 2,852 CON 2,009 UKIP 908 GRN593 Jacobite 161 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 25, 2013 May 5 2011 looks like a high point for the SNP never to be repeated Two and half years ago in a result that overturned the polling and betting of only a fortnight earlier the SNP swept to power in the…

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Marf on Merkel; a date for your diary and polling highlights

Marf on Merkel; a date for your diary and polling highlights

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Marf’s really on form today Have a drink on SeanT: Dirty Dicks, November 20th 6.30 pm Thanks once again to Fat Steve for making the arrangements. The next PB gathering will be at the Dirty Dicks pub just across the road from Liverpool Street Station in London from 1830 on Wednesday November 20th. These have become very much a tradition and a good time is generally had by all. SeanT has generously offered to make a contribution to the evening…

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Rolling back green taxes will create some CON branding issues – for a start there is the logo

Rolling back green taxes will create some CON branding issues – for a start there is the logo

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If green taxes are to be axed then it might be smart for the Tories to quietly change this first pic.twitter.com/rH73zWZAnC — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 23, 2013 This was very much Cameron’s thing It hasn’t really been touched on yet but one of the problems facing the Conservative leadership on rolling back green taxes is that it goes against much of what David Cameron was trying to achieve in his early days as leader and how he was trying…

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The main impact of the energy cap issue will be to firm up the LAB vote rather than attract switchers

The main impact of the energy cap issue will be to firm up the LAB vote rather than attract switchers

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It is now 4 weeks since Miliband raised the energy price freeze and amazingly it's dominated the political narrative ever since — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 23, 2013 6-0 job to Miliband, ably assisted by Bercow #pmqs — James Chapman (Mail) (@jameschappers) October 23, 2013 As the Tweets above suggest Dave had a pretty hard time of it at PMQs while Ed’s confidence continues to grow. It is exactly four weeks since Ed made his conference speech and still Cameron…

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