Browsed by
Author: MikeSmithson

Whatever the polls are saying the memory of GE1992 will give hope to the Tories right to the end

Whatever the polls are saying the memory of GE1992 will give hope to the Tories right to the end

Comments 0 Comment

Remember the election that was a total disaster for the pollsters It’s being reported that David Cameron is using John Major’s successful and surprise victory at GE1992 as a model for his party in seventeen months time. Whether the planned campaigning “double whammy” type tax shock approach will work we’ll have to wait and see but the result from April 1992 will give the blue team hopes of a majority right until the early hours of May 8th 2015. For…

Read More Read More

Punters continue to rate Tory chances of a majority at more than 23pc

Punters continue to rate Tory chances of a majority at more than 23pc

Comments 0 Comment

This is looking like the Romney betting ahead of WH2012 What’s been one of the intensive weeks of polling since the last election has barely moved the betting markets where Tory chances of securing a majority are rated at more than 23%. The LAB price continues to be in the mid-30s even though current polls translated into seats could see them with a majority of 80+. A hung parliament remains the punters’ favourite at just on a 40% chance. The…

Read More Read More

Reminder – Next Dirty Dicks do, Next Wednesday Nov 20th 6.30 pm

Reminder – Next Dirty Dicks do, Next Wednesday Nov 20th 6.30 pm

Comments 0 Comment

A once in a lifetime chance: Have a drink on SeanT The next PB gathering will be at the Dirty Dicks pub just across the road from Liverpool Street Station in London from 1830 on Wednesday November 20th. These have become very much a tradition and a good time is generally had by all. There’s an area at the back of the pub on the first floor that is semi-reserved for us. Please try to make it if you can….

Read More Read More

Two more polls this morning add to the big picture – Labour’s lead is increasing

Two more polls this morning add to the big picture – Labour’s lead is increasing

Comments 0 Comment

Ipsos-MORI also reports Greens up from 4 to 7 Charts from Ipsos-MORI showing today's poll which has LAB lead of 6% – up from level pegging last month pic.twitter.com/Wk5AflwS5C — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 15, 2013 LAB’s position with Populus best since end July Today's online poll from Populus sees LAB lead up Lab 40 (+1) Cons 31 (=) LD 11 (=) UKIP 10 (=) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 15, 2013 All the leaders see their Ipsos-MORI ratings fall Table from Ipsos-MORI showing…

Read More Read More

Not if but when should Ed back an EU referendum?

Not if but when should Ed back an EU referendum?

Comments 0 Comment

Henry G Manson says Ed should do it sooner not later Labour is signed up to an EU referendum in principle. Any new shift in powers will lead to one. That’s just a matter of time. Surely it’s better to take control and choose on your own terms and your own timing? The argument for ‘not right now’ is reasonably coherent. We must focus on jobs and growth. ‘Not 2017’ makes sense because signposting such a timetable four years would…

Read More Read More

UKIP the least liked party and LAB move to 8pc lead with TNS-BMRB

UKIP the least liked party and LAB move to 8pc lead with TNS-BMRB

Comments 0 Comment

This is from a survey that looks at views of the parties in different parts of the country which doesn’t produce any startling conclusions – the Tories are less popular in the north while LAB had problems in the South outside London. These YouGov numbers are very similar to what Ipsos-MORI found in August when they asked about liking and disliking parties. There’s little doubt that if party wants to be liked then it’s better to be in opposition. Meanwhile…

Read More Read More

Marf on the economy and the morning’s polling news

Marf on the economy and the morning’s polling news

Comments 0 Comment

If you would like to purchase one of Marf’s prints or originals, please contact her here. Latest YouGov sees UKIP up at 13% again Today's YouGov poll for the Sun sees LAB lead down to 8% CON 31 LAB 39 LD 9 UKIP 13 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 14, 2013 Farage’s party seems to poll within a range of 10-13% in the daily YouGov surveys and this morning’s figure is at the top of that range. On a bare uniform national swing this…

Read More Read More