Trump looks a good bet for the WH2024 nomination
In less than a year we should see the first Primary in the 2024 White House Race. There is a lot of debate going on within the Democratic party about which state should be first with efforts being made to dislodge Iowa and New Hampshire from their normal first slots. There is also the quite high possibility of the Democratic primary race being operated entirely separately from the Republican one with the latter tending to follow the traditional order that…
The Tories should sack their ad agency
Why the Tories will struggle to get an anti-trade union meme going
One of the most long-standing polling series in British politics is from Ipsos when those sampled are asked entirely without prompting to name what they think are the key issues facing the country at the moment. The Tweet from the Ipsos boss Ben Page above sets out the reality of where the Tories are currently at as they work hard to work up public opinion against trade unions. This clearly shows that we are far far away from the days…
Biden slipping in the WH2024 betting
After all the fuss about Donald Trump and top secret documents the current president Joe Biden appears to have done something similar by taking classified documents home. Trump has faced similar problems and the question is being raised about whether Biden is going to be able to carry out his desire to run for the presidency in 2024. Inevitably the developments have impacted on Biden’s position in the betting and as can be seen from the chart he has slipped…
The government is getting the blame for the Nurses’ strike
The above polling on striking nurses is’from the latest Opinium poll that came out yesterday and highlights what appears to be a growing problem for the government. Normally strikes by those providing public services do not get supported by the public and that certainly can reinforce the resolve of ministers to deal with with the situation. That simply is not happening with the nurses and the numbers above should be worrying. That just under half the public, if this polling…
The Rail Strikes: This from Opinium is not good for the Tories
Could Sunak face a challenge before the election?
As I have observed recently one of the big issues facing Rishi Sunak is that he is still struggling in the polls. The Tories continue to be miles behind which if it was to be repeated at a general election would see hundreds of Tory MPs losing their seats. It was being speculated yesterday that if the election followed some of the latest polls than the Tories would be down to a handful of seats and that the SNP would…