The suggestion that Nigel Farage might at some stage join the Conservative Party is a hot topic as delegates gather for the party’s annual conference in Manchester. Perhaps those who back the idea have no comprehension of how the former UKIP leader and BREXIT itself are regarded by large sections of the electorate particularly in what are called now the blue wall seats. This could be just the lift that Ed Davey needs in order to make his party even…
Starmer’s party, which hasn’t been getting much attention recently, is retaining its position in the next general election betting and is rated as a 65% chance of achieving an overall majority. It is hard to see this moving much except if LAB’s poll leading begins to ebb away. My calculation is that the critical figure we should look for is whether or not the Labour Party has an overall lead over the Tories of 7% or more. That should ensure…
After nearly 20 years of running PB I am taking a break from the site. In the meantime PB will be in the capable hands of TSE Mike Smithson
The word cloud above was featured widely on BBC news outlets last night and sets out the challenge for the Tories as they gather in Manchester for their party conference. Is there any way that Sunak could change this in the remaining time before a general election has to be called? My view has always been that Sunak’s personal wealth was always going to be a massive negative for the Tories and I can’t think of what the party can…
I’m looking forward to seeing the polling on Sunak’s driving changes and I won’t come to a firm view until I do. Maybe this will resonate and the PM will get a boost. Maybe it won’t But judging by the discussions on social media they don’t seem to have gone down well. Speeding limits do save lives. I’m just amazed that Sunak thought he was onto a winner. Mike Smithson
I cannot recall a Westminster by-election betting market which has been as tight as that on Mid Beds. The fight looks to be between LAB, the Tories and the LDs and the latest moves have been towards the red team in the betting. The by-election kings of this parliament, the Lib Dems, are now in third place after being favourites for a while. It is entirely possible that the Tories could hang onto the seat like they did against the…