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By-Election Results: October 9th 2014

By-Election Results: October 9th 2014

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Waterloo on Blackpool (Conservative defence) Result: Conservatives 406 (34%), UKIP 372 (32%), Labour 347 (30%), Liberal Democrats 34 (3%), British National Party 17 (1%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 34 (2%) Bicknacre with East and West Hanningfield on Chelmsford (Conservative defence) Result: Conservatives 649 (56%), UKIP 359 (31%), Labour 80 (7%), Greens 35 (3%), Liberal Democrats 34 (3%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 290 (25%) Southgate on Crawley (UKIP defence from Con defection) Result: Labour 733 (44% +3%),…

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By-Election Preview : October 9th 2014

By-Election Preview : October 9th 2014

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Waterloo on Blackpool (Conservative defence) Result of council at last election (2011): Labour 27, Conservatives 14, Liberal Democrats 1 (Labour majority of 12) Result of ward at last election (2011) : Emboldened denotes elected Labour 937, 659 Conservatives 793, 728 Liberal Democrats 263 Candidates duly nominated: John Braithwaite (UKIP), Kathy Ellis (Lab), Mike Hodkinson (Lib Dem), Jack Renshaw (BNP), Derek Robertson (Con) Bicknacre with East and West Hanningfield on Chelmsford (Conservative defence) Result of council at last election (2011): Conservatives…

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Two holds for LAB, CON and LD and one UKIP gain in latest local by elections

Two holds for LAB, CON and LD and one UKIP gain in latest local by elections

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Llandaff North on Cardiff (Labour Defence) Result: Labour 898 (50% -2%), Llandaff North Independents 419 (23% -1%), UKIP 204 (11%), Conservatives 136 (8% +5%), Liberal Democrats 134 (7% -9%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 479 (27%) on a swing of 0.5% from Labour to Llandaff North Independents Windermere on Cumbria (Liberal Democrat Defence) Result: Liberal Democrats 1,061 (52% -10%), Conservatives 810 (39% +20%), Independent 123 (6%), Green 61 (3%) Liberal Democrat HOLD with a majority of 251 (12%) on…

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Local By-Election Preview : October 2nd 2014

Local By-Election Preview : October 2nd 2014

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Llandaff North on Cardiff (Labour Defence) Result of last election to council (2012): Labour 46, Liberal Democrats 16, Conservatives 7, Indepdendents 4, Plaid Cymru 2 (Labour overall majority of 17) Result of ward at last election (2012): Emboldened denotes elected Labour 1,244, 1,156 (52%) Llandaff North Independents 607, 507 (24%) Liberal Democrats 375, 356 (16%) Conservatives 154 (3%) Plaid Cymru 141 (3%) Greens 101 (2%) Candidates duly nominated: David Cogan (Llandaff North Independents), Pueter Hudson (Con), Ann Rowland-Jones (Lib Dem),…

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Local By-Election Results : September 25th 2014 – UPDATE and a Marf cartoon

Local By-Election Results : September 25th 2014 – UPDATE and a Marf cartoon

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Epping, Hemnal on Epping Forest (Conservative Defence) Result: Liberal Democrats 607 (43% +7%), Conservatives 386 (28% -14%), UKIP 339 (24% +16%), Green 69 (5% +1%) Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative with a majority of 221 (15%) on a swing of 10.5% from Con to Lib Dem Lovelace on Guildford (Conservative Defence) Result: Liberal Democrats 555 (61% +47%), Conservatives 255 (28% -43%), UKIP 63 (7%), Labour 32 (4% -11%) Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative with a majority of 300 (33%) on…

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Local By-Election Preview: September 25th 2014

Local By-Election Preview: September 25th 2014

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Epping, Hemnal on Epping Forest (Conservative Defence) Result of last election to council (2014): Conservatives 37, Residents 12, Liberal Democrats 3, United Kingdom Independence Party 2, Independents 2, Greens 1, Labour 1 (Conservative majority of 16) Result of last election in ward (2011): Conservative 951 (42%), Liberal Democrats 821 (36%), Labour 231 (10%), UKIP 185 (8%), Green 83 (4%) Candidates duly nominated: Kim Adams (Lib Dem), Nigel Avey (Con), Andrew Smith (UKIP), Anna Widdup (Green) By-elections held during the conference…

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Local By-Election Preview: September 18th 2014 (Referendum Day)

Local By-Election Preview: September 18th 2014 (Referendum Day)

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Abergele, Pensarn on Conwy (Lab Defence) Result of council at last election (2012): Independents 19, Conservatives 13, Plaid Cymru 12, Labour 10, Liberal Democrats 5 (No Overall Control, Independents short by 14) Result of ward at last election (2012): Labour 407 (55%), Independent 186 (25%), Conservative 145 (20%) Candidates duly nominated: Barry Griffiths (Ind), Val Parker (Ind), John Pitt (Con), Michael Smith (Ind), Rick Stubbs (Lab), Ken Sudlow (Ind), Sarah Wardlaw (UKIP) Conwy is one of these councils were the…

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Make no mistake the polls point to the IndyRef being on a knife-edge and so much depends on turnout

Make no mistake the polls point to the IndyRef being on a knife-edge and so much depends on turnout

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More than 80% of postal votes have now been returned The big unknown from this election is turnout – something that all the pollsters seek to measure and apply when working out their final vote shares. Thus the 2% NO lead ICM phone poll used the firm’s standard turnout adjuster of attaching a 50% discount to those who didn’t vote in previous parliamentary elections. But in the context Thursday’s totally unprecedented election we don’t know whether that’s a valid approach…

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