Worrying trend here for Mr. Farage from @IpsosMORI pic.twitter.com/H2ZErRViIK — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 18, 2014 All party leaders with net negatives (Clegg & Ed the worst) in latest @IpsosMORI satisfaction ratings pic.twitter.com/R3oF6QobZP — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 18, 2014
Jim Murphy pic.twitter.com/rsChNCPY8q — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 17, 2014 Why I’ve now become an SNP seller It is worth recapping why we are where we are in Scotland. Back in early 2011 it looked as though Scottish LAB was in a position to make a return to power in Holyrood ahead of the Scottish Parliament elections that May. At the start of the year all the polling had the party well ahead so that by the March, with only…
ComRes ITV poll on the best party for the issues voters say will most influence their choice pic.twitter.com/tIeLwipejO — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 17, 2014 But how strong is LAB on NHS and the cost of living? What is interesting about this ComRes survey for ITV is that it seeks to link the best party on each issue to what issues are likely to be decisive in influencing voter choice. Rather than just have “the economy” where the Tories are…
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Surprisingly the least likely were 18-24 year olds A report from the Electoral Commission on September’s Scottish IndyRef finds that three-quarters of the 16/17 year old did exercise their vote. This comes in a study carried out for the Commission by ICM in which a particular effort was made to identify and interview non-voters. An explanation by Professor John Curtice of why the very youngest segment was more likely to vote is that maybe they were encouraged to do so…
Since Osborne's Autumn statement all the pollsters bar YouGov have had LAB leads pic.twitter.com/hQTcWdT8XI — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 16, 2014 Since Nov 10 all polls bar YouGov’s have had LAB leads Interesting looking through the Wiki list of Westminster voting intention polls and one thing stands out – LAB has maintained a lead of some sort with all the firms apart from YouGov which, of course, reports five times a week for the Sun and the Sunday Times. Above…
South Kintyre on Argyll and Bute (SNP defence) Result: SNP 942 (62% +37%), Liberal Democrats 214 (14%, unchanged), Conservative 203 (13% -33%), Labour 156 (10%, no candidate last time) SNP HOLD on the first count with a majority of 728 (48%) on a swing of 18.5% from Lib Dem to SNP Gatehouse (Lib Dem defence) and Southcourt (Lab Defence) on Aylesbury Vale Gatehouse Result: Liberal Democrat 295 (36%), UKIP 267 (32%), Conservative 113 (14%), Labour 113 (14%), Green 28 (3%),…
South Kintyre on Argyll and Bute (SNP defence) Result of council at last election (2012): Independents 15, Scottish National Party 13, Conservatives 4, Liberal Democrats 4 (No Overall Control, Independents short by 4) Result of ward at last election (2012) : Emboldened denotes elected Conservatives 1,133 (46%) Scottish National Party 203, 415 (25%) Independents 63, 138, 167 (15%) Liberal Democrats 351 (14%) Candidates duly nominated: John ARMOUR (SNP), Charlotte HANBURY (Con), Michael KELLY (Lab), Joyce OXBORROW (Lib Dem) A lot…