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Local By-Election Preview : February 12th 2015

Local By-Election Preview : February 12th 2015

Bar Hill on Cambridgeshire (Con Defence) Result of council at last election (2013): Conservatives 32, Liberal Democrats 14, United Kingdom Independence Party 12, Labour 7, Independents 4 (No Overall Control, Conservatives short by 3) Result of ward at last election (2013): Conservatives 1,175 (45%), United Kingdom Independence Party 570 (22%), Labour 352 (14%), Green 242 (9%), Liberal Democrat 219 (8%), Monster Raving Loony 28 (1%) Candidates duly nominated: Martin Hale (UKIP), Lynda Harford (Con), Claudia Roland (Green), Alex Smith (Lab),…

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Local By-Election Result : February 5th 2015

Local By-Election Result : February 5th 2015

Birmington on Derbyshire (Lab Defence) Tricia Gilby (Labour) 1,293 votes (62% -7%) Paul Stone (United Kingdom Independence Party) 380 votes (18%, no candidate in 2013) Mick Bagshaw (Independent) 157 votes (8%) John Ahern (Liberal Democrat) 135 votes (6% -3%) Lewis Preston (Conservative) 120 votes (6% -5%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 913 votes (44%) on a swing of 12% from Labour to UKIP

Local By-Election Preview : February 5th 2015

Local By-Election Preview : February 5th 2015

Brimington on Derbyshire (Lab Defence) Result of council at last election (2013): Labour 43, Conservatives 18, Liberal Democrats 3 (Labour majority of 22) Result of ward at last election (2013): Labour 1,857 (69%), Conservatives 301 (11%), Liberal Democrats 250 (9%), Independent (Mullins) 175 (6%), Independent (Mann) 119 (4%) Candidates duly nominated: John Ahern (Lib Dem), Mick Bagshaw (Ind), Tricia Gilby (Lab), Lewis Preston (Con), Paul Stone (UKIP) Derbyshire has always been called a Labour heartland council (and yet despite that…

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Local By-Election Preview : January 29th 2015

Local By-Election Preview : January 29th 2015

Marshalwick South on St. Albans (Two Conservative defences) Result of council at last election (2014): Conservatives 29, Liberal Democrats 17, Labour 10, Greens 1, Independent 1 (No Overall Control, Conservatives and Opposition tied) Result of ward at last election (2012): Conservative 929 (40%), Liberal Democrats 651 (28%), Labour 441 (19%), Green 188 (8%), UKIP 123 (5%) Result of ward at last election (2014): Conservative 972 (39%), Labour 573 (23%), Liberal Democrats 486 (19%), Green 258 (10%), UKIP 232 (9%) Candidates…

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Local By-Elections: January 22nd 2014 – Harry Hayfield

Local By-Elections: January 22nd 2014 – Harry Hayfield

Good SNP by election hold in Kirkcaldy E SNP 47.3%+15.9 LAB 35.3 -11.8 CON 7.2 -2.3 GRN 4.1%+4.1 UKIP 3.8% +3.8 (Oth) 2.3% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 23, 2015 This was Harry’s ward description before the result. Kirkcaldy East on Fife (SNP defence) Result of council at last election (2012): Labour 35, Scottish Nationalists 26, Liberal Democrats 10, Conservatives 3, Independents 3, Non Party Independent 1 (No Overall Control, Labour short by 5) Result of ward at last election (2012): Emboldened denotes elected Labour 1,111,…

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So far at least the post-IndyRef SNP surge has barely been seen in Scottish local by-elections

So far at least the post-IndyRef SNP surge has barely been seen in Scottish local by-elections

SNP poll surge not being seen in post IndyRef Scottish local by-elections. Chart from Rob Hayward – election analyst pic.twitter.com/H6u35Btkfi — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 19, 2015 Just compare that with the UKIP experience in England Yesterday I attended the annual media briefing by the respected elections analyst and former Conservative MP Robert Hayward. It was a packed and thought provoking session which will be reflected in the media in the coming weeks. There are a number of slides that…

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Tories slump 5 while Greens jump to 11 in this week’s Ashcroft National Poll

Tories slump 5 while Greens jump to 11 in this week’s Ashcroft National Poll

Tories slump 5 while Greens jump to 11 in this week's Ashcroft poll pic.twitter.com/1tZD76oWPp — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 19, 2015 Greens hit their highest poll share ever in latest Ashcroft National Poll After last week’s poll which had the Tories 6% today’s Ashcroft National Poll is even more striking – Greens at 11% CON 29-5 LAB 28= LD 9+1 UKIP 15-1 GRN 11+3

Another Scottish poll gives a little bit of cheer to LAB but not that much

Another Scottish poll gives a little bit of cheer to LAB but not that much

Survation for the Daily Record SNP 46%-2 LAB 26%+2 CON 14%-2 LD 7%+2 UKIP 4%= On what is set to be a very big polling day the first news we have is of a Survation poll in Scotland for the Daily Record. The numbers are above and show that the SNP still has a very big lead over Labour which would cause Miliband’s party to lose a massive number of seats. Scotland is so important to this election because of…

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