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Why this could be like 1992 when the polls were simply wrong

Why this could be like 1992 when the polls were simply wrong

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Elections & polling expert Keiran Pedley examines whether the UK polling industry could be about to experience a crisis not seen since the polls got it so wrong in 1992.  Those that follow polling closely will recall the famous situation in 1992 where the polls appeared to point to a Labour victory (of sorts) only for the Conservatives to prevail. Since that time, much work has gone into correcting those mistakes and subsequent election results have shown that the polling…

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Local By-Election Preview : March 5th 2015

Local By-Election Preview : March 5th 2015

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Kenton on Brent (Con defence) Result of council at last election (2014): Labour 56, Conservatives 6, Liberal Democrats 1 (Labour majority of 49) Result of ward at last election (2014) : Emboldened denotes elected Conservatives 1,798, 1,796, 1,669 (53%) Labour 1,139, 1,040, 946 (32%) Liberal Democrats 221, 153, 125 (5%) Green 348 (11%) Candidates duly nominated: Michaela Lichten (Green), Vincent Lo (Lab), Michael Maurice (Con), Bob Wharton (Lib Dem) Brent (for the most part) has been a Conservative / Labour…

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Local By-Election Results: February 12th 2015

Local By-Election Results: February 12th 2015

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Bar Hill on Cambridgeshire (Con Defence) Lynda Harford (Con) 787 (46% +1%) Martin Hale (UKIP) 251 (15% -7%) Fiona Whelan (Lib Dem) 238 (14% +6%) Alex Smith (Lab) 235 (14% unchanged) Claudia Roland (Green) 200 (12% +3%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 536 (31%) on a swing of 4% from UKIP to Con Oswestry East on Shropshire (Con Defence) John Price (Con) 629 (47% +3%) Claire Norris (Lab) 247 (19% -4%) Duncan Kerr (Green) 231 (17% no candidate in…

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Local By-Election Preview : February 12th 2015

Local By-Election Preview : February 12th 2015

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Bar Hill on Cambridgeshire (Con Defence) Result of council at last election (2013): Conservatives 32, Liberal Democrats 14, United Kingdom Independence Party 12, Labour 7, Independents 4 (No Overall Control, Conservatives short by 3) Result of ward at last election (2013): Conservatives 1,175 (45%), United Kingdom Independence Party 570 (22%), Labour 352 (14%), Green 242 (9%), Liberal Democrat 219 (8%), Monster Raving Loony 28 (1%) Candidates duly nominated: Martin Hale (UKIP), Lynda Harford (Con), Claudia Roland (Green), Alex Smith (Lab),…

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Local By-Election Result : February 5th 2015

Local By-Election Result : February 5th 2015

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Birmington on Derbyshire (Lab Defence) Tricia Gilby (Labour) 1,293 votes (62% -7%) Paul Stone (United Kingdom Independence Party) 380 votes (18%, no candidate in 2013) Mick Bagshaw (Independent) 157 votes (8%) John Ahern (Liberal Democrat) 135 votes (6% -3%) Lewis Preston (Conservative) 120 votes (6% -5%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 913 votes (44%) on a swing of 12% from Labour to UKIP

Local By-Election Preview : February 5th 2015

Local By-Election Preview : February 5th 2015

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Brimington on Derbyshire (Lab Defence) Result of council at last election (2013): Labour 43, Conservatives 18, Liberal Democrats 3 (Labour majority of 22) Result of ward at last election (2013): Labour 1,857 (69%), Conservatives 301 (11%), Liberal Democrats 250 (9%), Independent (Mullins) 175 (6%), Independent (Mann) 119 (4%) Candidates duly nominated: John Ahern (Lib Dem), Mick Bagshaw (Ind), Tricia Gilby (Lab), Lewis Preston (Con), Paul Stone (UKIP) Derbyshire has always been called a Labour heartland council (and yet despite that…

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Local By-Election Preview : January 29th 2015

Local By-Election Preview : January 29th 2015

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Marshalwick South on St. Albans (Two Conservative defences) Result of council at last election (2014): Conservatives 29, Liberal Democrats 17, Labour 10, Greens 1, Independent 1 (No Overall Control, Conservatives and Opposition tied) Result of ward at last election (2012): Conservative 929 (40%), Liberal Democrats 651 (28%), Labour 441 (19%), Green 188 (8%), UKIP 123 (5%) Result of ward at last election (2014): Conservative 972 (39%), Labour 573 (23%), Liberal Democrats 486 (19%), Green 258 (10%), UKIP 232 (9%) Candidates…

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Local By-Elections: January 22nd 2014 – Harry Hayfield

Local By-Elections: January 22nd 2014 – Harry Hayfield

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Good SNP by election hold in Kirkcaldy E SNP 47.3%+15.9 LAB 35.3 -11.8 CON 7.2 -2.3 GRN 4.1%+4.1 UKIP 3.8% +3.8 (Oth) 2.3% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 23, 2015 This was Harry’s ward description before the result. Kirkcaldy East on Fife (SNP defence) Result of council at last election (2012): Labour 35, Scottish Nationalists 26, Liberal Democrats 10, Conservatives 3, Independents 3, Non Party Independent 1 (No Overall Control, Labour short by 5) Result of ward at last election (2012): Emboldened denotes elected Labour 1,111,…

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