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This week’s local by elections see holds for SNP, PC, CON and LAB but no seats changing hands

This week’s local by elections see holds for SNP, PC, CON and LAB but no seats changing hands

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Thorniewood on North Lanarkshire (SNP defence) Result: Scottish National Party 1,555 (47% +23%), Labour 1,410 (43% -28%), Conservative 149 (5% unchanged), SSP 81 (2%, no candidate in 2012), Green 51 (2%, no candidate in 2012), Scottish Christian Party 33 (1%, no candidate in 2012), United Kingdom Independence Party 29 (1%, no candidate in 2012) SNP HOLD elected on the 6th count on a swing of 25.5% from Labour to SNP Morfa Nefyn on Gwynedd (Plaid Defence) Result: Plaid Cymru 315…

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Harry Hayfeld’s Local By-Election Preview : July 9th 2015

Harry Hayfeld’s Local By-Election Preview : July 9th 2015

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Thorniewood on North Lanarkshire (SNP defence) Result of council at last election (2012): Labour 41, Scottish National Party 26, Independents 2, Cumbernauld Independent Councillors Alliance 1 (Labour majority of 12) Result of ward at last election (2012): Emboldened denotes elected Labour: 1,623, 1,443 (71%) Scottish National Party: 1,057 (24%) Conservative: 225 (5%) Candidates duly nominated: Steven Bonnar (SNP), Hugh Gaffney (Lab), Meghan Gallacher (Con), Patrick McAleer (Green), Liam McCabe (SSP), Craig Smith (Scottish Christian Party), Matt Williams (UKIP) What I…

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Local By-Election Results: July 2nd 2015

Local By-Election Results: July 2nd 2015

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Grantham, Barrowby on Lincolnshire (Con defence) Result: Conservative 579 (50% +12%), Labour 257 (22% -8%), UKIP 179 (15%, no candidate in 2013), Lincolnshire Independents 155 (13%, no candidate in 2013) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 322 (28%) on a swing of 10% from Labour to Conservative Hampton Wick on Richmond upon Thames (Con defence) Result: Liberal Democrat 1,189 (43% +25%), Conservative 1,081 (39% -11%), Green 237 (9% -10%), Labour 185 (7% -7%), UKIP 69 (3%, no candidate in 2014),…

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Local By-Election Preview: July 2nd 2015

Local By-Election Preview: July 2nd 2015

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Grantham, Barrowby on Lincolnshire (Con defence) Result of council at last election (2013): Conservatives 36, United Kingdom Independence Party 16, Labour 12, Lincolnshire Independents 8, Liberal Democrats 3, Independents 2 (No Overall Control, Conservatives short by 3) Result of ward at last election (2013): Conservatives 558 (38%), Independent 476 (32%), Labour 442 (30%) Candidates duly nominated: Rob Shorrock (Lab), Maureen Simon (UKIP), Mark Whittington (Con) Lincolnshire, on the face of it, looks rather boring. Since 1989 it’s only gone NOC…

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Local By-Election Result : June 30th 2015

Local By-Election Result : June 30th 2015

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Result: Conservative 561 (40% -14%), Plaid 543 (39% +27%), Labour 234 (17% -12%), Independent 24 (2%, no candidate in 2012), Green Party 22 (2% -1%), Liberal Democrats 10 (1% -1%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 18 (1%) on a swing of 21% from Conservative to Plaid

Local By-Election Preview : June 30th 2015

Local By-Election Preview : June 30th 2015

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Pentyrch on Cardiff (Con defence) Result of council at last election (2012): Labour 46, Liberal Democrats 16, Conservatives 7, Independents 4, Plaid Cymru 2 (Labour majority of 17) Result of ward at last election (2012): Conservative 772 (54%), Labour 413 (29%), Plaid Cymru 171 (12%), Green 40 (3%), Liberal Democrat 22 (2%) Candidates duly nominated: Cadan ap Tomos (Lib Dem), Paul Fisher (Lab), Gavin Hill (Con), Munawar Mughal (Ind), Ruth Osner (Green), Hywel Wigley (Plaid) Cardiff, the capital city of…

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Guest Slot: Social media and shy rightwingers

Guest Slot: Social media and shy rightwingers

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Tissue Price on the polling errors across Europe The inquest into the polling disaster at the UK General Election continues. Matt Singh of NumberCruncherPolitics provided an excellent overview of the pollsters’ initial thoughts last week, ahead of the first meeting of the official BPC/MRS inquiry. Some pollsters think faulty sampling was the principal cause of error, some blame turnout modelling, and one thinks a genuine late swing was the biggest single factor. Dan Hodges channels Emile Zola in accusing the…

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Local By-Election Preview : June 25th 2015

Local By-Election Preview : June 25th 2015

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Market and West Deeping on South Kesteven (Deferred Election: One Conservative Defence and Two Independent Defences from 2011) Result of council at last full election (2011): Conservatives 39, Independents 12, Labour 6, Liberal Democrats 1 (Conservative majority of 20) Result of ward at last full election (2011) : Emboldened denotes elected Conservatives: 959, 766 (40%) Independents: 847, 844, 533 (35%) Green Party: 622, 330, 302 (26%) Candidates duly nominated: Conservative: Nick Neilson Liberal Democrats: Adam Brookes Independents: Ashley Baxter, Bob…

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