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Before tonight’s big GOP debate some new Iowa polling and Local By-Election Preview

Before tonight’s big GOP debate some new Iowa polling and Local By-Election Preview

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Loras College poll has Cruz 7% ahead in IowaCruz 30Trump 23Rubio 11Carson 11Bush 6Fiorina 3,Paul 2Huckabee 2Christie 0 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 15, 2015 @ppppolls have Trump still ahead in IowaTrump 28Cruz 25Rubio 14Carson 10Bush 7Fiorina 3Christie 3Huckabee 3Paul 2Kasich 2 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 15, 2015 ABC/Wash Post poll has Trump with big lead in national pollTrump 38Cruz 15Rubio 12Carson 12Bush 5Christie 4Paul 2Kasich 2Fiorina 1 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 15, 2015 Republican nominee race: At…

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An LD won off UKIP in this week’s Local By-Elections

An LD won off UKIP in this week’s Local By-Elections

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Kinson South (Two Conservative defences) on Bournemouth Result of ward at last election (2015): Emboldened denotes elected Apology Number One: The result last time was for Kinson NORTH ward, this is the correct result for Kinson SOUTH ward United Kingdom Independence Party 1,224 (25%) Conservatives 1,188, 1,147, 919 (25%) Labour 1,083, 951, 875 (22%) Bournemouth Independents 489 (10%) Green Party 471 (10%) Liberal Democrats 378 (8%) Result: Emboldened denotes elected Conservatives 520, 509 (33% +8%) Labour 471, 371 (29% +7%)…

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Donald Brind wonders whether Osborne’s luck will hold?

Donald Brind wonders whether Osborne’s luck will hold?

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The Friday column From a Labour perspective “We have an economic plan that is delivering for Britain”. When George Osborne uttered his familiar mantra in the Commons on Wednesday it sounded as though he was clinging to a piece of wreckage after his encounter with Angela Eagle. The duo were standing in for their bosses as first secretary of state and his shadow, rather than in their day jobs as Chancellor and shadow Business Secretary. Questioned about the Cumbria flood…

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Local By-Election History and Candidates : December 10th 2015: 4 Con, 2 Lab and 1 LD Defences

Local By-Election History and Candidates : December 10th 2015: 4 Con, 2 Lab and 1 LD Defences

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Kinson South (Two Conservative defences) on Bournemouth Result of council at last election (2015): Conservatives 49, Independent 1, United Kingdom Indepdence Party 1 (Conservative majority of 48) Result of ward at last election (2015): Emboldened denotes elected Conservatives 1,638, 1,579, 1,439 (33%) United Kingdom Independence Party 1,362 (27%) Labour 1,060, 918, 814 (21%) Green Party 526, 484 (10%) Liberal Democrat 453 (9%) Candidates duly nominated by party: Conservatives: Norman Decent, Roger Marley Labour: Beryl Baxter, Mel Semple Liberal Democrats: Phil…

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Local By-Election and Westminster By-Election Results : December 3rd 2015

Local By-Election and Westminster By-Election Results : December 3rd 2015

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Ash South and Tongham on Guildford (Con defence) Result: Conservative 540 (43% unchanged), Liberal Democrat 286 (23% +6%), United Kingdom Independence Party 153 (12%, no candidate in 2015), Guildford Greenbelt 145 (12% -7%), Labour 125 (10% -11%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 254 (17%) on a swing of 3% from Conservative to Liberal Democrat Teme Valley on Malvern Hills (Con defence) Result: Conservative 266 (64% -8%), Labour 96 (23%, no candidate in 2015), United Kingdom Independence Party 56 (13%…

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The PB Oldham Prediction and this week’s local by-elections

The PB Oldham Prediction and this week’s local by-elections

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The average predictions in our prize competition Ash South and Tongham on Guildford (Con defence) Result of council at last election (2015): Conservatives 35, Liberal Democrats 9, Guildford Greenbelt 3, Labour 1 (Conservative majority of 22) Result of ward at last election (2015): Emboldened denotes elected Conservatives 2,299, 2,199, 2,104 (43%) Labour 1,113 (21%) Guildford Greenbelt 999 (19%) Liberal Democrats 900, 665 (17%) Candidates duly nominated: George Dokimakis (Lab), Andrew Gomm (Con), Kyle Greaves (UKIP), Alan Hilliar (Lib Dem), Ramsey…

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The Syria decision: Doubters make the best persuaders

The Syria decision: Doubters make the best persuaders

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Donald Brind on Friday – from a Labour pespective “‘Oh gosh, yes,’ said the Archbishop of Canterbury Justin Welby when asked if the terror attacks in Paris had caused him to doubt God. They had, he said, put a ‘chink in his armour’ of faith. But he warned against a knee-jerk military response, saying: ‘Two injustices do not make justice … If we start randomly killing those who have not done wrong, that is not going to provide solutions.” There…

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All this week’s local by-election results

All this week’s local by-election results

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Carnforth and Millhead (Con defence) on Lancaster Result: Conservative 545 (55% +7%), Labour 320 (32% -3%), Green Party 52 (5% -12%), Liberal Democrat 38 (4%, no candidate in 2015), United Kingdom Indepdendence Party 37 (4%, no candidate in 2015) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 225 (23%) on a swing of 5% from Labour to Conservative Rochford (Con defence) on Rochford Result: Labour 332 (32% -16%), Conservative 328 (32% -20%), United Kingdom Independence Party 250 (24%), Liberal Democrat 114 (11%)…

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