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The Tories are on the run over the public sector pay cap. So why is Don Brind frustrated by Labour’s campaign?

The Tories are on the run over the public sector pay cap. So why is Don Brind frustrated by Labour’s campaign?

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.@Theresa_May can find £1 billion to keep her own job, but can’t find the money so nurses and teachers can keep theirs. #PMQs #NHSBirthday pic.twitter.com/EedylEeWFf — Jeremy Corbyn (@jeremycorbyn) July 5, 2017 There was no doubting the passion and conviction that Jeremy Corbyn brought to the Commons as he challenged the Prime Minister  over the pay cap which, he said, “causes real shortages in nursing, teaching and many other professions, as well as real hardship.” He added, “this pay cap…

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NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: Do voters think Corbyn is ready to be PM?

NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: Do voters think Corbyn is ready to be PM?

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On this week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast Keiran is joined by Habib Butt and Leo Barasi to discuss the latest polling news and analysis of the week. Key topics discussed this week include: 1) What the polls tell us about the state of the parties 2) Who the voters think would make the best PM and what the numbers mean 3) Exclusive Polling Matters / Opinium numbers on why people voted as they did in June and whether Corbyn is ready…

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Don’t Diss the DUP. They could help put Labour into government

Don’t Diss the DUP. They could help put Labour into government

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If Martin McGuiness could work with the DUP why couldn’t Jeremy Corbyn? That rhetorical question works the other way round too. If Jeremy Corbyn is to see private prediction to Michael Eavis at Glastonbury that he could be Prime Minister in six months fulfilled he can only get there with the combined votes of all the non-Tory parties – including the DUP. By contrast those 10 DUP votes were enough to give Theresa May an effective Commons majority. On the…

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Local By-Election Review : June 2017 (post General Election)

Local By-Election Review : June 2017 (post General Election)

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Dawdon on Durham (Lab defence) Result: Labour 693 (52% +6% on May 2017), Independent 633 (48%, no candidate in May 2017) Labour HOLD with a majority of 60 (4%) Hedge End and Grange Park on Eastleigh (Lib Dem defence) Result: Liberal Democrat 668 (56% +14% on last time), Conservative 316 (27% +4% on last time), Labour 144 (12% +7% on last time), Green Party 41 (3%, no candidate last time), United Kingdom Independence Party 14 (1% -29% on last time)…

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The first local by election since GE17 – the results

The first local by election since GE17 – the results

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First of all, an explanation of this new method. During the general election campaign I became aware that a lot of people were doing profiles of the wards up for local by-elections and having a look through them all I came to the conclusions that the profiles offered by Andrew Teale were far and away the best, therefore in consultation with Mike, I said that I would list the results of the local by-elections after the results had been published…

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NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: Queen’s Speech, Brexit negotiations, LD leadership and the importance of the youth vote

NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: Queen’s Speech, Brexit negotiations, LD leadership and the importance of the youth vote

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On this week’s podcast, Keiran is joined by Dr Mark Pack of Lib Dem Newswire and Adam Drummond of Opinium. The team discuss this week’s Queen’s Speech and the start of the Brexit negotiations and what happens next for the Lib Dems now that Tim Farron has resigned. The panel also discuss Ipsos Mori’s data on ‘who voted for who’ at the General Election and what impact younger voters might have on British politics in the coming years. Listen here…

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NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: GE17 debrief. Breaking down the YouGov model & focus on Northern Ireland

NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: GE17 debrief. Breaking down the YouGov model & focus on Northern Ireland

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This week’s podcast is split into two parts. In part one, Keiran chats with Ben Lauderdale from the LSE. Ben was behind the infamous YouGov model which turned out to be so successful. He explains how the model works, what it tells us about the campaign and British politics more generally and where the polling industry goes from here. In part two, Keiran is joined by Mick Fealty of Slugger O’Toole to discuss what the DUP might want from the…

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Being wrong about about Jeremy and being right about Jeremy

Being wrong about about Jeremy and being right about Jeremy

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Don Brind reflects on a better than expected result “Can I have one of those”, said a young woman as I was walking along the road with a bundle of leaflets in my south London constituency. She was on her way home to collect her boyfriend before going to vote. She was having trouble deciding how to vote. “Is there anything in particular that is worrying you”, I asked. “I’m worried about terrorist attacks. I’m not sure that Labour can…

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