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Tonight’s YouGov numbers

Tonight’s YouGov numbers

YouGov – the Sun May 4 May 3 CONSERVATIVES 35% 35% LABOUR 30% 28% LIB DEMS 24% 28% Anthony Wells says: “Just when it was looking as though the position had settled down, we suddenly have a shift in support. It could be the “Cleggmania” bubble bursting, or people pulling away from a hung Parliament after the heavy Conservative campaigning against it, or Liberal Democrat supporters heeding the call of Labour figures to vote tactically for Labour…. or, it could…

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The Sunday night round-up

The Sunday night round-up

This is a regular feature which will run every Sunday night up until polling day, to include the last set of figures from each pollster, as well as the current seat spreads from the betting markets, and also international updates. The pollsters Last poll from each pollster Con LD Lab Oth Lead YouGov 2 May 34 29 28 9 Con 5 ICM 2 May 33 28 28 11 Con 5 BPIX 1 May 34 30 27 9 Con 4 ComRes…

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Tonight’s YouGov numbers

Tonight’s YouGov numbers

YouGov – the Sun May 2 May 1 CONSERVATIVES 34% 35% LIB DEMS 29% 28% LABOUR 28% 27% UPDATE – ICM ICM – Guardian May 2 Apr 30 CONSERVATIVES 33% 36% LIB DEMS 28% 27% LABOUR 28% 29% Double Carpet (Twitter:@electiongame) www.electiongame.co.uk The UK election game is available here – entries close 7am BST Thursday

… and ComRes

… and ComRes

Conservatives lead by 4, Labour & Lib Dems tied ComRes/ITV-The Independent Apr 26 Apr 25 CONSERVATIVES 33% 32% LIB DEMS 29% 31% LABOUR 29% 28% Can we be careful not to discuss postal voting poll subsets as this may be illegal – thanks. Double Carpet (Twitter:@electiongame) www.electiongame.co.uk The UK game will be released shortly

Tonight’s polls

Tonight’s polls

Conservative lead 8 with Populus, 4 with YouGov Labour up to second place with YouGov Populus/The Times Apr 27 Apr 20 CONSERVATIVES 36% 32% LIB DEMS 28% 31% LABOUR 27% 28% YouGov/The Sun Apr 27 Apr 26 CONSERVATIVES 33% 33% LIB DEMS 28% 29% LABOUR 29% 28% Double Carpet (Twitter:@electiongame) www.electiongame.co.uk The UK game will be released shortly

The Sunday night round-up

The Sunday night round-up

This is a regular feature which will run every Sunday night up until polling day, to include the last set of figures from each pollster, as well as the current seat spreads from the betting markets, and also international updates. The pollsters Last poll from each pollster Con Lab LD Oth Lead YouGov 25 Apr 34 28 30 8 Con 4 BPIX 24 Apr 34 26 30 10 Con 4 Ipsos-MORI 23 Apr 36 30 23 11 Con 6 ComRes…

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… and ComRes has a 9-point Conservative lead

… and ComRes has a 9-point Conservative lead

Is this a rogue or is the LD bounce running out of steam? ComRes ITV/Independent Apr 19 Apr 18 CONSERVATIVES 35% 32% LIB DEMS 26% 28% LABOUR 26% 28% So, here is the long-awaited sensational poll from ComRes, with the Conservatives now on a nine-point lead over both the other parties. As with all polls that break from the recent trend, is this an outlier, or the first indication that the Lib Dem bounce has slightly deflated and the Tories…

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But YouGov has the Lib Dems leading by three…

But YouGov has the Lib Dems leading by three…

YouGov/The Sun Apr 20 Apr 19 LIB DEMS 34% 31% CONSERVATIVES 31% 33% LABOUR 26% 27% Tonight’s YouGov poll has the Lib Dems in the sunlit uplands of the mid-thirties, three points ahead of the Tories and eight clear of Labour. How much higher would they need to go to become largest party – and can they secure anywhere near this kind of vote share on election day? Double Carpet (Twitter:@electiongame) www.electiongame.co.uk