Browsed by
Author: Editor

Checking the Political Weather in Wales

Checking the Political Weather in Wales

Comments 0 Comment

Results of the May Welsh Political Barometer In 2009 the Conservatives were the big success story of the European elections in Wales, topping the poll in a Welsh national election for the first time in over a century (I haven’t been able to track down an earlier occurrence, Labour has topped every poll since 1918 when the Coalition Liberals stormed to victory under David Lloyd George). This was mainly down to Labour’s nosedive (down 12.2 points since 2004) rather than…

Read More Read More

Corporeal on The Passion of the Ukippers

Corporeal on The Passion of the Ukippers

Comments 0 Comment

As Mike noted at the time the latest round of 2014Euro polls came back with a pretty wide range of results, ranging from UKIP leading by 11 points with ComRes, down to ICM putting them in 3rd and 4 points off the top. So I did a little digging. What I think is causing at least the main part of the disparity is how the different pollsters treat certainty to vote responses. ICM operate a weighting system based on a…

Read More Read More

Local By-Election Preview: May 8th 2014

Local By-Election Preview: May 8th 2014

Comments 0 Comment

Roman Bank on Fenland (Conservative defence) Result of last election for council (2011): Conservatives 34, Independents 4, Liberal Democrats 2 (Conservative majority of 28) Result of last election for ward (2011) : Emboldened denotes elected Conservatives 1,256, 1,092, 1,007 Labour 590 Liberal Democrats 361 Candidates duly nominated: Samantha Clark (Con), Stephen Court (Lib Dem), Barry Diggle (Lab), Alan Lay (UKIP), Erbie Murat (Ind) Fenland (located between Huntingdonshire and King’s Lynn) is about a bedrock of Conservative support as you can…

Read More Read More

Local By-Election Result : May 1st 2014

Local By-Election Result : May 1st 2014

Comments 0 Comment

Caol and Mallaig on Highland (Independent defence) Result: Ind 932 (39% -40%), SNP 726 (30% +15%), NPI 537 (22% +20%), UKIP 133 (6%), Scottish Christian Party 63 (3% +1%) Total Independent vote: 1,469 (61% -18%) Independent HOLD on the fourth count on a swing of 17% from Ind to SNP Turnout: 34.4%

Local By-Election Preview : May 1st 2014

Local By-Election Preview : May 1st 2014

Comments 0 Comment

Caol and Mallaig on Highland (Independent defence) Result of last election to council (2012): Independent 33, SNP 22, Liberal Democrat 15, Labour 8, Non Party Independent 2 (No Overall Control, Independents short by 8) Result of ward at last election (2012) : Emboldened denotes elected Independents 905, 710, 506, 71 (79%) Scottish National Party 411 (15%) Conservatives 66 (2%) Non Party Independent 60 (2%) Scottish Christian Party 45 (2%) Candidates duly nominated: William MacDonald (SNP), Liam Simmonds (UKIP), Ben Thompson…

Read More Read More

Local By-Election Results: April 24th 2014

Local By-Election Results: April 24th 2014

Comments 0 Comment

Blackwood on Caerphilly (Labour Defence) Result: Lab 620 (41% -10%), Ind 477 (32% +6%), Plaid 349 (23% +9%), Con 68 (4% -4%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 143 (9%) on a swing of 8% from Labour to Independent Turnout: 24.3% Sutton on East Cambridgeshire (Conservative Defence) Result: Lib Dem 523 (51%), Con 280 (27%), UKIP 162 (16%), Lab 63 (6%) Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative with a majority of 243 (24%) Turnout: 33% Horncastle on East Lindsey (Conservative defence)…

Read More Read More

Local By-Election Preview: April 24th 2014

Local By-Election Preview: April 24th 2014

Comments 0 Comment

Blackwood on Caerphilly (Labour Defence) Result of last election to council (2012): Labour 50, Plaid Cymru 20, Independents 3 (Labour majority of 27) Result of last election in ward (2012): Emboldened denotes elected Labour 1,116, 966, 946 (51%) Independents 833, 719 (26%) Plaid Cymru 352, 253, 235 (14%) Conservatives 182, 148, 144 (8%) Candidates duly nominated: Andrew Farina-Childs (Plaid Cymru), Cameron Muir-Jones (Con), Allan Rees (Lab), Keith Smallman (Ind) When Caerphilly was created it seems to be another example of…

Read More Read More

European Elections 2009 : Summary of Results

European Elections 2009 : Summary of Results

Comments 0 Comment

European Election Results 2009 Conservatives 4,193,706 votes (27.63%) winning 272 count areas and 25 MEP’s United Kingdom Independence Party 2,495,782 votes (16.44%) winning 9 count areas and 13 MEP’s Labour 2,375,361 votes (15.65%) winning 59 count areas and 13 MEP’s Liberal Democrats 2,078,723 votes (13.70%) winning 11 count areas and 11 MEP’s Green Party 1,302,705 votes (8.58%) winning 3 count areas and 2 MEP’s British National Party 941,491 votes (6.20%) winning 0 count areas and 2 MEP’s Scottish National Party…

Read More Read More