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Deferred Elections postponed from May 22nd : June 26th 2014

Deferred Elections postponed from May 22nd : June 26th 2014

Swanwick on Amber Valley (Conservative WIN in 2010) Result of council at last election (2014): Labour 24, Conservatives 21 (Labour overall majority of 3) Result of ward at last election (2010): Conservative 1,610 (50%), Labour 983 (31%), Liberal Democrats 599 (19%) Conservative majority of 627 (19%) Candidates duly nominated: Joel Hunt (Lib Dem), Allen King (UKIP), George Soudah (Ind), Antony Tester (Lab), David Wilson (Con) Amber Valley has always been a bit of a Con / Lab battleground and since…

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Local By-Election Preview: June 19th 2014

Local By-Election Preview: June 19th 2014

Soham South on East Cambridgeshire (Independent Defence) Result of council at last election (2011): Conservative 25, Liberal Democrats 10, Independents 4 (Conservative overall majority of 11) Result of ward at last election (2011): Emboldened denotes elected Conservatives 745, 578, 547 Independent 598, 590 Liberal Democrats 397, 300 Labour 335 Candidates duly nominated: Daniel Divine (UKIP), Gerard Hobbs (Ind), Fiona Ross (Lab), Hamish Ross (Con), Charles Warner (Lib Dem), Geoffrey Woolard (Ind) East Cambridgeshire is another example of what has happened…

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Local By-Election Results: June 12th 2014

Local By-Election Results: June 12th 2014

Sleaford, Quarrington and Mareham (Ind Defence)< Result: Lincolnshire Independent 527 (45%), Conservative 477 (40%), Independent 178 (15%) Lincolnshire Independent GAIN from Independent with a majority of 50 (5%) Sleaford, Westholme (Ind Defence) Result: Lincolnshire Independent 342 (69%), Conservative 119 (24% +3% on 2011), Labour 38 (8%) Lincolnshire Independent GAIN from Independent with a majority of 223 (45%) Collington on Rother (Ind Defence) Result: Independent 570 (42%), Conservative 378 (28%), United Kingdom Independence Party 311 (23%), Labour 102 (8%) Independent HOLD…

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Local By-Election Preview : June 12th 2014

Local By-Election Preview : June 12th 2014

Now, I know there is the small matter of a massive football competition happening in Brazil over the next few weeks which will (according to Bloomberg television) attract some $5 billion worth of bets during the competition, but let’s not forget that with the Liberal Democrats on 6% of the vote in some polls and UKIP’s leader declaring over £200,000 worth of gifts in the last ten years, British politics and it’s elections will still carry on regardless so with…

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Local By-Election Results: June 5th 2014

Local By-Election Results: June 5th 2014

Clydesdale South on South Lanarkshire (SNP defence) Result: Labour 1,492 votes (41% -3%), Scottish National Party 1,170 (32% -10%), Conservative 659 (18% +8%), United Kingdom Independence Party 233 (6% +2%), Green 104 (3%) Labour GAIN from SNP on the fifth count with a majority of 322 (9%) on a swing of 3.5% from SNP to Lab Turnout: 30.97% Newark in the Westminster Parliament (Con defence) Conservatives 17,431 votes (45.03% -8.82% on Election 2010) United Kingdom Independence Party 10,028 votes (25.91%…

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Local By-Election Preview : June 5th 2014

Local By-Election Preview : June 5th 2014

Clydesdale South on South Lanarkshire (SNP defence) Result of last election to council (2012): Labour 33, Scottish Nationalists 28, Conservatives 3, Independents 2, Liberal Democrat 1 (No Overall Control, Labour short by 1) Result of last election in ward (2012) : Emboldened denotes elected Scottish National Party 1,625, 313 (42%) Labour 1,149, 875 (44%) Conservatives 487 (10%) United Kingdom Independence Party 199 (4%) Candidates duly nominated: Donna Hood (Con), Donald MacKay (UKIP), Gordon Muir (Lab), George Sneddon (SNP), Ruth Thomas…

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Local By-Election Preview: Local Election Polling Day (May 22nd 2014)

Local By-Election Preview: Local Election Polling Day (May 22nd 2014)

As there are 74 local by-elections being held today it would be impossible to profile them all, so I have chosen the ones that could be rather juicy given the prospect of the expected UKIP flood. Willingham on Cambridgeshire (Con defence) Result of last election to council (2013): Conservatives 32, Liberal Democrats 14, United Kingdom Independence Party 12, Labour 7, Independents 4 (No Overall Control, Conservatives short by 3) Result of last election in ward (2013): Conservative 882 (40%), United…

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Harry Hayfield: YouGov have had their say, now it is my turn

Harry Hayfield: YouGov have had their say, now it is my turn

Since the start of the year, I have been tracking all the polls that have been published about the Euros and taking sage advice from Mike’s postings about polling companies not prompting for the Greens and taking in account all the discussions about what “An Independence from Europe” may have on UKIP, I have come to the following conclusion. It’s too darn close to call. Based on all the polls, I am having a very hard time separating Labour and…

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