In the VI polling, there’s been a marked shift to LAB
As can be seen from the Wikipedia table there has been a marked move to LAB with the four most recent surveys having the party with double-digit leads. This has been partly driven by a Tory decline and partly by LAB edging up.
The LAB/LD/GRN aggregate is now mostly at 60%+ – an important figure to bear in mind given the level of tactical voting that there has been in recent by-elections.
This could all change quickly once Johnson is out of the picture and we have a new Tory leader. There can be little doubt that he has been a serious drag on his party’s polling position.
What we are likely to see a lot of in coming weeks is named leader polling with those surveyed given different voting intention questions with different Tory leaders. These will likely flatter the most well-known of the Tory contenders because it becomes more about name recognition.
Tonight we should see the latest from Opinium which has been showing the smallest LAB leads.