Trump’s describes as “fake news” his WH2016 comments that John McCain was not a hero because he was captured
For the record this is what he said
Another leading Republican declares for Biden
What is significant here is that his state, Michigan, was one of those that swung to Trump at WH2016 and is an an absolute must win for Biden/Harris. Moves similar to Snyder’ are being seen almost daily by prominent Republican who don’t have the stomach to back the incumbent. The question is whether this will have an impact on other party supporters from last time. Those who make a stand are likely to prompt a stream of abuse from Trump.
Sporting Index have Biden on 281 Electoral College Votes in their opening spread betting markets
The Spread Betting firm SportingIndex has now got up its WH2020 markets and the early prices have Biden on 281 ECVs which is 11 above the number required. This is a form of betting that lends itself well to elections because if you “BUY BIDEN” at the stated level the more ECVs he secures the more money that you will make. Alas it works the other way if you get it wrong. The more you are wrong the more you…
Johnson can’t go on being as dire at PMQs as he was yesterday
Time to bet that he won’t make it as PM until the next general election? I first began reporting professionally as a journalist on PMQs in 1972 when I was part of the small team that produced the “Today in Parliament” programme for BBC Radio 4. Three years later I was one of the editors that handled the parliamentary broadcasting experiment that was the forerunner of the proceedings of the House being broadcast on radio and then later television. These…
Biden moves back to a clear lead in the WH2020 betting after a day which saw him slip behind Trump
This has been a huge day on the White House race betting markets which saw, for the first time in months, Trump becoming the favourite on the Betfair exchange where so far nearly there have been nearly £72m worth of matched bets. Heaven know what the total will look like by November 3rd. As I write Trump is at a 47% chance on Betfair with Biden on 51% There’s a growing view amongst punters that Biden is nothing like the…
Extraordinary. The betting odds on both Biden and Trump now longer than evens
Neither nominee is convincing punters Above are the the overnight odds on the £70m “Next President” market on the Betfair exchange. Given that this is a two horse race it really is quite extraordinary that punters are rating both their chances as longer than evens even if only by a fraction. Both men, of course, are in the mid-70s, (Trump’s 74 Biden 77) and there must be an increased actuarial possibility that at least one might not make it across…
Sunak continues to defy gravity in YouGov’s favourability ratings
YouGov have just updated their favourability trackers and as can be seen the Chancellor continues to ride supreme although still a long way down from his net plus 49% just at the start of lockdown. He, of course, has been making many of the key lockdown announcements on things like the hugely expensive furlough scheme and, of course, the changes on VAT and last month the cheap meals offer. It is the way he is seen, as portrayed in these…
Poll of US servicemen and women finds Trump has lost the Military vote. Biden has a 4% lead
AT WH2016 the military went for Trump over Clinton by almost two to one Given some of the noises coming from the Oval Office at the moment this poll of men and women serving in the US military could be hugely significant for Trump who seems to have lost the support of active service troops. What makes this very important is that last time the 2016 Military Times Poll, found twice as many respondents said they planned to vote for Trump…