Make sure you are not in the dark Once again thanks to Andy JS for putting together a spreadsheet to help guide us through the election a fortnight on Thursday. This is remarkably easy to use and search and I’ve found it to be very helpful. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
Our ?@Adamstoon1? ?@EveningStandard? on the latest polls pic.twitter.com/kVrfwrg7x9 — George Osborne (@George_Osborne) November 28, 2019 After the YouGov MRP analysis the Tories now rated a 70% chance to secure an overall majority. This is the @betdatapolitics trend chart of the Betfair market pic.twitter.com/P6AZlgsUeV — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 28, 2019 And more constituency polls are on the way This weekend in The Observer there will be a constituency poll bonanza from @DeltapollUK @PeterKellner1 — Martin Boon (@martinboon) November 28, 2019
They can safely consider an anti-Brexit party Most of the focus on the two MRP sets of projections that we got last night is that in certain key seats tactical voting has the potential to impede the pro-Brexit Tories. Certainly in the bellwether seat of Bedford where I live both YouGov and the Best for Britain suggest that the Tories are just one percent ahead and it won’t take much to have an impact. But there is another group that…
From the Times – The first YouGov MRP projectionhttps://t.co/RycenPP2qB pic.twitter.com/X3no4gBfAO — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 27, 2019 This’ll form the basis for tactical voting Just published in the Time the first YouGov MRP projection which should calm the nerves at CCHQ. This will be dissected by opposition parties and used to press the case for tactical voting in specific seats. Let’s see how the betting markets respond. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet
Tory source says better take the hit for ?than take the risk of @afneil. Happy Days! https://t.co/Xw7aWICrQp — Adam Boulton (@adamboultonSKY) November 27, 2019 If so could this be like TMay skipping the GE17 debates This hasn’t been confirmed yet but there appears to be a possibility that Johnson might not agree to do an Andrew Neil interview like the one that Nicola Sturgeon and Corbyn have already gone through. Adam Boulton’s Tweet sums this up – that the risk…
Deltapoll of parents of school age children finds LAB with 14% lead amongst mums but the Tories 7% ahead amongst dads pic.twitter.com/RNWaMqK0ii — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 27, 2019 Jo Swinson sees big drop in her Ipsos-MORI favourability ratings pic.twitter.com/fLVMKxfSaT — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 27, 2019 Summary of the latest voting intention polls from Wikipedia pic.twitter.com/pVmQB7LHRT — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 27, 2019
The multi-billionaire who wants to beat Trump Above is one of the first WH2020 campaign ads for 77 year old Michael Bloomberg who announced at the weekend that we was running for the White House. His approach to the campaign for the Democratic is very different from his rivals. Firstly, of course, he’s not having to bother with the tedious business of fundraising. He’s committed $150m of his own money to his campaign and clearly there is a lot more…
One thing’s for sure: Johnson and Swinson won’t be looking forward to their sessions Jeremy Corbyn just gave one of the worst political performances of modern times. In his interview with Andrew Neil he came across as bored, irritable, ill-informed and unprincipled. It was career-endingly terrible.#andrewneilinterviews#BBCelectionhttps://t.co/SIuMUIyKQ2 — Theodora Dickinson (@TheaDickinson) November 26, 2019 Andrew Neil is brilliant. He makes the useless leaders of all parties squirm. Sturgeon & Corbyn absolutely taken apart. He will exactly the same to Johnson &…