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Month: February 2019

Yet another Democrat Senator prepares to fight for the WH2020 party nomination

Yet another Democrat Senator prepares to fight for the WH2020 party nomination

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Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange For those not following this on a daily basis the fight to become the Democratic nominee gets even more complicated whenever you look at. The latest news is that Minnesota Democrat Senator Amy Klobuchar is heading to Iowa a sure sign that a presidential bid is in prospect. Other Democratic party senators to have declared are Elizabeth Warren, Tulsi Gabbard, Kamala Harris and Kirsten Gillibrand. On top of that the old-timer duo…

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Bad news for Theresa May as ORB brings horrible polling for her

Bad news for Theresa May as ORB brings horrible polling for her

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This month’s Brexit Confidence tracker poll shows 80% of UK adults disapprove of the way the government is handling the Brexit negotiations, the highest figure recorded since this tracker poll began in November 2016https://t.co/k55Qbr2hff#Brexit #Poll #TheresaMay #BrexitDeal pic.twitter.com/uYyjcPWD3J — ORB International (@ORB_Int) February 5, 2019 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way in which the Government is handling the Brexit negotiations? Approve 20% (-5) Disapprove 80% (+5) n=2014, 1st-3rd Feb Online — ORB International (@ORB_Int) February 5, 2019…

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Leading Corbynista calls for Labour to introduce US-style primaries to select candidates

Leading Corbynista calls for Labour to introduce US-style primaries to select candidates

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Will party members and the unions be happy about giving up their selection powers? In a Tweet last night one of Labour’s most prominent and leading Corbyn backers, Aaron Bastani, called for what would be a radical change in the way the party selects candidates for Parliament and other elected offices. Instead of the current system which puts just about all the power with Trade Unions and members he wants US style primaries. In the US there are different systems…

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Trump’s approval now ratings far worse far worse than at the midterms when the Dems gained 41 house seats

Trump’s approval now ratings far worse far worse than at the midterms when the Dems gained 41 house seats

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RealClearPolitics The big political polling numbers that get most attention in US politics are the President’s approval ratings and these are seen to be good predictors of electoral outcome. Thus the 10% approval deficit that Trump had ahead of the November midterms was enough for pundits to predict that the Republicans would lose the House by some margin. That is what happened. Since then we’ve had the government shutdown when 800k federal employees went without pay for nearly 5 weeks,…

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The battle between LAB & CON viewed through the perspective of their leaders’ approval ratings since GE2017

The battle between LAB & CON viewed through the perspective of their leaders’ approval ratings since GE2017

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I have been meaning to compile this for sometime – how Corbyn and May compare with each other month by month based on the Opinium leader approval ratings. The pollster is the only one that asks this question in every survey it does for the Observer though the figures often don’t get reported. Corbyn was doing better than the Tory leader until after March 2018, the month that saw his response to the Salisbury attack and the anti-LAB anti semitism…

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I’m not convinced the Tories are going to let TMay fight a second general election as party leader and PM

I’m not convinced the Tories are going to let TMay fight a second general election as party leader and PM

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Betfair exchange betting price from Betdata.io The betting barely moves in spite of the speculation Sundays are usually my day off and am only now catching up with the speculation over the weekend of an early election. The idea is to find a means of getting away from the Brexit deadlock and a different composition of the House of Commons would help. Clearly the problem is that it’s hard to see anything relating to Brexit commanding a majority of MPs….

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The January 29th 2019 amendments and the extension rumours

The January 29th 2019 amendments and the extension rumours

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BACKGROUND Earlier in January Parliament debated a deal with the European Union. The deal was formally known as the “Withdrawal Agreement”[15] and Parliament subjected it to a vote referred to as the “Meaningful Vote”, which was lost 432 to 202.[16] Subsequently seven amendments were scheduled for debate on January 29.[18][17] Five of those amendments failed but two amendments were passed.[17] One of the failed amendments was “amendment B”, better known as the Cooper amendment. It would have provided time to…

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Trump seems to be alienating an awful lot of voters

Trump seems to be alienating an awful lot of voters

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Trump is energising his opponents in record breaking numbers 538 write With the 2020 election cycle revving into full gear, pollsters are asking voters whether they plan to vote for President Trump. In a Washington Post/ABC News survey, respondents were asked if they would definitely vote for the president, consider voting for him or definitely not vote for him — and 56 percent said they would definitely not vote for him. Morning Consult posed a slightly different form of this question, asking voters if they’d definitely…

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