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Month: January 2019

If the Article 50 exit date gets deferred it could raise doubts about whether the UK ever leaves

If the Article 50 exit date gets deferred it could raise doubts about whether the UK ever leaves

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A deferral on March 29th could lead to similar calls once the extension ends Lots of talk today about the possibility of the March 29th Brexit deadline being deferred because the UK Parliament does not have the time left to enact the required legislation. Apparently six bills would have to complete the parliamentary process before the article 50 deadline of March 29 when the country is due automatically under the legislation that allowed the Article 50 notice to be given….

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Corbyn would be taking a huge gamble going into an election so out of step with LAB voters on Brexit

Corbyn would be taking a huge gamble going into an election so out of step with LAB voters on Brexit

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Yesterday in what was billed as his “big Brexit speech” LAB leader Corbyn called for a general election should TMay lose fail to win backing for her Brexit deal in the vote next week. But he’s been far more reluctant to allow Labour to give any backing to the increasing clamours for a specific referendum on the deal. As is widely known Corbyn has been anti the EU just about all his political career and he’s not going to change…

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Kamala Harris – my WH2020 66/1 pick from two years ago – set to enter the race a week on Monday

Kamala Harris – my WH2020 66/1 pick from two years ago – set to enter the race a week on Monday

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Now joint favourite for the Democratic nomination This is from my post under the heading “My 66/1 long-shot bet for the 2020 White House race: Democratic Senator Kamala Harris from California” from January 18th 2017 – two days before Donald Trump was inaugurated as President. “..With Trump’s inauguration taking place on Friday there’s been a flurry of betting activity on the newly elected Senator from California, Kamala Harris, for the next White House Race in 2020. This followed a lot…

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The economics of LICE. How do we deal with parasite taxation ?

The economics of LICE. How do we deal with parasite taxation ?

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LICE – Luxembourg, Ireland, Channel Isles, Estonia – we could add others and play alphabet soup, but the basic premise is the same small countries which live well by diverting the tax revenues of their larger neighbours. These are parasites not in the derogatory sense but in the biological sense of entities which live off others. This is not new, tax havens have been around for centuries but largely as an irritant to those next door. However in the last two decades things…

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What happens when the anti-Brexiteers are united – those who want it are split

What happens when the anti-Brexiteers are united – those who want it are split

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This week’s latest Westminster scorecard : The Executive NIL Parliament TWO By any standards the events that we are seeing at Westminster over the process of the government’s EU Exit legislation are completely unprecedented. Generally parliament is very much there to follow what the executive rules and Westminster’s structures and rules are designed to achieve that end. The two defeats for the government that we’ve seen yesterday and today are designed to eat away some of the executive’s power in…

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Layla Moran now becomes favourite to become next LD leader

Layla Moran now becomes favourite to become next LD leader

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Poll after poll has shown that the will of the people is now in favour of a People's Vote with the option to stay in the EU. So whose side is the Prime Minister on – Putin's or the people's? #PMQs pic.twitter.com/u3Q8SwF9by — Layla Moran (@LaylaMoran) January 9, 2019 The LD MP for Oxford West and Abingdon, Laylan Moran, made a point at PMQs this lunchtime that I’m surprised hasn’t been taken up by other remainers – the pro-Brexit comments…

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NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: What LAB and CON party members think about Brexit?

NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: What LAB and CON party members think about Brexit?

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On this week’s podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by Professor Tim Bale of Queen Mary University to discuss his research on Labour and Conservative Party members – who they are, what they think about Brexit and what this means for the future of British politics. Listen to the episode below: Follow this week’s guests: Follow @KeiranPedley Follow @ProfTimBale Tweet