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Month: October 2018

It had to come. West Virginia becomes the first state where people can vote by smartphone

It had to come. West Virginia becomes the first state where people can vote by smartphone

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Politco is reporting that West Virginia will become the first state in the US where it will be possible to vote by smartphone in the crucial election on November 6th. An app has been created that will allow hundreds of overseas residents, members of the military stationed abroad and others to cast their ballots remotely. It is being emphasised that the app will rely on blockchain, which is the same technology technology that underpins Bitcoin. Politico reports that that this…

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DUP-No10 relations mean that 6/1 for Corbyn as Next PM is value

DUP-No10 relations mean that 6/1 for Corbyn as Next PM is value

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There is enough uncertainty over the next year to give him a decent chance When Ian Paisley said “No!”, people believed that he meant what he said. The Big Man may be gone but his party lives on and it would be extremely unwise for anyone to assume that when Arlene Foster says “no”, she means any different from her predecessor. The DUP do not bluff. Ever. They might occasionally change their minds but when they do, they do so…

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The danger of making resignation threats is this that you look silly if you don’t follow through

The danger of making resignation threats is this that you look silly if you don’t follow through

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Exclusive: Theresa May given the weekend to change her backstop plan or face losing Andrea Leadsom, Esther McVey and Peddy Mordaunt from Cabinet "It is the litmus test for the taking back control… this is the killer moment" https://t.co/G7ky1oFmeV — Adam Payne (@adampayne26) October 12, 2018 Apparently they are saying that they’ll wait until Monday before deciding whether to quit, The backstop is said to be the “crunch point”. They want an explicit end date — and nothing less. As…

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Dismantling Obamacare could be what undermines Trump and the GOP in the midterms

Dismantling Obamacare could be what undermines Trump and the GOP in the midterms

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The effort to erode what’s become an entitlement is a massive political gamble In poll after poll in the US the biggest issue to voters is not Kavanaugh’s appointment to the Supreme Court, the economy or immigration but the efforts by the Republicans to water down the limited public health provision that’s available in the US. Last year, it will be recalled, Trump’s plan to abolish Obamacare completely was undermined by the late Senator John McCain who rebelled against his…

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The real weakness of the threats of PM Corbyn is that many LAB MPs don’t like the idea either

The real weakness of the threats of PM Corbyn is that many LAB MPs don’t like the idea either

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Well, it would certainly encourage a lot of Labour MPs to support her — John Rentoul (@JohnRentoul) October 11, 2018 With TMay seemingly in a total mess trying to maintain support for her Brexit plans while now being opposed by the Brextremists and the DUP lots of speculative scenarios are being played out. James Forsyth in an interesting Speccie post linked to above raises one one scenario with the risk of PM Corbyn being just about the final argument that…

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NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: What now for Scotland?

NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: What now for Scotland?

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On this week’s PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley is joined by pollster Mark Diffley to deep dive on the latest round of polls in Scotland. Topics discussed include: 1) How support for Scottish independence has changed over time and the impact that Brexit could have 2) When the next Scottish Independence vote will happen 3) What’s going on in voting intention polls for Holyrood and Westminster and what this means for the main players north of the border…

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