Salzburg: Betting across a range of relevant political markets has hardly moved
Punters are hanging on to their cash
Given the enormity of what’s happened at the EU Salzburg summit I though it useful to look at reaction across a range of market on the Betfair exchange:
Next UK General Election most seats
It was CON 50% chance to LAB 45% on Betfair 24 hours ago and the position hasn’t moved
UK to leave the EU by 29/03/2019
This was a 63.5% chance 24 hours ago and is now a 62.5% one.
Year of next UK General Election
2019 was a 31% chance 24 hours ago and still is. Favourite remains 2022 at 36%
Theresa May Exit Date
2019 still the 52% favourite and hasn’t moved.
Prime Minister after Theresa May
Johnson remains joint 14% favourite with a Mr. Corbyn.