Council by-election vote share changes with previous winning party:
(That UKIP-LDM swing tho…) pic.twitter.com/ENb5KEutC4
— PolitiStatsUK (@PolitiStatsUK) February 10, 2018
I’ve just come across the above chart which shows an interesting picture of vote movements in council by-elections since GE17.
Clearly the collapse of UKIP is having a big impact and in almost every segment of seats, based on the defending party, LAB, CON and the LDs have moved forward.
What is striking is that in the former UKIP seats the biggest gainer has been the LDs vote increase which, on the face of it seems counter-intuitive.
My reading is that what is happening I is that as memory of the coalition fades the LDs are returning to their traditional role as “none of the Above”.