If the PVV do it tonight in the Dutch election it will be another polling miss where the right was understated
British punters stayed with the PVV until yesterday
The big political betting event today is the Dutch General Election where the betting prices have been out of line with the polling.
British punters appear to have been taking a view that the PVV will do better than the surveys suggest. At one stage Betfair had the PVV at a 71% chance – at 1pm that was down to 34%
I took Alistair Meeks’ post yesterday seriously and have a small wager that the PVV won’t do it.