Anatomy of the biggest night of political betting ever when in 4 hours the 93% favourite lost
How the drama unfolded
YouGov on the day survey (NOT an exit poll) being published on Sky News at 10pm
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 23, 2016
YouGov on the day poll has REMAIN 4% ahead
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 23, 2016
REMAIN now 93% chance on Betfair
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 23, 2016
https://twitter.com/Birdyword/status/746087771509497860
REMAIN now 90% chance on Betfair
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 23, 2016
Ipsos MORI has REMAIN 8% lead
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 23, 2016
Early counting of postal votes in Sunderland suggest a 60/40 split to Leave.
— Britain Elects (@BritainElects) June 23, 2016
LEAVE making something of a recovery on Betfair. Now its 82-18 to REMAIN
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 23, 2016
This is looking a lot tighter. No wonder the Betfair REMAIN price is easing
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 23, 2016
REMAIN now down to 74% chance on Betfair. At one stage it was over 90%
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 23, 2016
REMAIN now 71% on Betfair
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 23, 2016
Sunderland result – Remain 51,930 Leave 82,000 – v good result for Leave
— Laura Kuenssberg (@bbclaurak) June 23, 2016
REMAIN now down to 65% chance on Betfair.
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 23, 2016
Now REMAIN 61% chance on Betfair
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 23, 2016
REMAIN now 69% chance on Betfair
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 23, 2016
Worth pointing out, seeing some big Remain numbers reported in London.
— (((Dan Hodges))) (@DPJHodges) June 23, 2016
The very high turnout in England to my mind favours LEAVE not REMAIN. this is still too close to call
— ALASTAIR CAMPBELL (@campbellclaret) June 23, 2016
REMAIN now 65% chance on Betfair
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 23, 2016
Portsmouth is looking like 57% Leave, Southampton 60% Leave. Both were expected to be more level.
— Peter Henley (@Peter_Henley) June 23, 2016
Current REMAIN on Betfair 65% chance
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 24, 2016
John Curtice: At the moment at least the Leave side are favourites to win this Referendum – but there is still a very long way to go. #EUref
— Nick Sutton (@suttonnick) June 24, 2016
It's gradually dawning on political journalists throughout the land that our weekend plans are fucked.
— Jamie Ross (@JamieRoss7) June 24, 2016
REMAIN now 64.5% chance on Betfair
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 24, 2016
.@bournemouthian Leave still value on Betfair
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 24, 2016
LEAVE at 39% on Betfair must be a great value bet
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 24, 2016
To think that only 4 hours ago REMAIN was a 90% chance
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 24, 2016
https://twitter.com/jamesrbuk/status/746148920997351424
Now REMAIN odds on favourite once again
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 24, 2016
I've been trying to go the loo for an hour
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 24, 2016
REMAIN now 60%chance on Betfair
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 24, 2016
Latest betting and chart. pic.twitter.com/QWWiQt7rok
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 24, 2016
Crossover again. LEAVE now favourite
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 24, 2016
Curtice not calling it, BUT says Leave now are favourites
— Laura Kuenssberg (@bbclaurak) June 24, 2016
.@bournemouthian I piled in on LEAVE after Sunderland and and sticking with that.
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 24, 2016