Correction Latest @OpiniumResearch #EURef poll

Remain 44 (+1)

Leave 42 (+1)

Fieldwork 7th June – 10th June https://t.co/lGhkC9rnTz

— TSE (@TSEofPB) June 11, 2016

YouGov for Sunday Times:
Leave 43%
Remain 42%

— Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) June 11, 2016

YouGov for Sunday Times:
Who is "scaremongering"?
41% think Remain have done more, 28% think leave have done more.

— Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) June 11, 2016

YouGov/ST
55% think LEAVE exaggerated immigration claims but 49% say they're true
63% think REMAIN exaggerated economy claims (40% true)

— Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) June 11, 2016

YouGov/ST
Next prime minister (all voters)
Boris 20%
May 8%
Gove 5%
Osborne 4%

(Tory voters)
Boris 31%
May 13%
Gove 7%
Osborne 7%

— Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) June 11, 2016

ORB with a 10% lead for Leave looks like an Outlier

There’s also a third poll, a YouGov poll for The Sunday Telegraph/Adam Smith Institute but the fieldwork for that was conducted at the start of the week, so isn’t as recent as The Sunday Times poll but finds the same result. Next week we should be seeing at least two phone polls, Ipsos Mori and Survation. It’ll be interesting to see if they are also seeing the race narrowing, but it does makes yesterday’s ORB look like an outlier. Whatever the result, I suspect this wasn’t what Cameron was expecting when he chose June 23rd as referendum day.

TSE

And there might be fun after the referendum

Charlie Falconer will resign from the shadow cabinet if Corbyn calls Blair a war criminal when Chilcot reports. See Sunday Times

— Tim Shipman (@ShippersUnbound) June 11, 2016