New Opinium poll has Remain still ahead but under their old methodology Leave would be ahead
Opinium Remain 43 (-1) Leave 41 (+1) but for new methodology Leave would be ahead https://t.co/A25xws4OWv pic.twitter.com/Api6tEZytX
— TSE (@TSEofPB) June 4, 2016
Like the ORB and ICM phone polls, there appears to have been a marked shift towards Leave before the methodology change, what will also delight Leave is this, Opinium say ‘In our last poll, 47% leaned towards Remaining while 32% leaned the other way. In this latest poll, undecideds are nearly evenly split with 36% leaning towards staying in the EU and 33% towards Leave.’
I’m not aware of any other polls due this evening, but if there are, I’ll update this piece.
Last night it looked like Remain might go below 70% for the first time in 3 weeks but back up to 74% now pic.twitter.com/Rj9vXOWtdW
— TSE (@TSEofPB) June 4, 2016
Gove's performance last night prompted one London punter to open account with Hills & bet £10, 000 at 1/3 on a Remain victory
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 4, 2016
TSE
Update – The Observer are reporting this poll as a 3% lead for LEAVE
Well this is odd. The Observer are reporting the Opinium poll as a 3% lead for Leave https://t.co/u3lYbYZ2CT pic.twitter.com/382KznXXeV
— TSE (@TSEofPB) June 4, 2016