The great modal divide continues

ICM's two referendum polls after excluding DKs
PHONE IN 55% OUT 45%
ONLINE IN 48% OUT 52%

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 16, 2016

ICM phone poll before DKs excluded
IN 47% -1
OUT 39% -2
DKs 14%+3

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 16, 2016

Westminster VI ICM phone
CON 36%-2
LAB 32% +1
LD 7%=
UKIP 13%=
ICM Westminster online
CON 34%
LAB 32
LD 7%
UKIP 17%

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 16, 2016

Online versus Phone. During formal GE2015 campaign 56% of phone polls had CON leads against just 10% of online ones. Actual margin CON 6% up

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 16, 2016