As Trump’s favourability ratings get worse there are now suggestions that he doesn’t want the nomination after all
Gaullup polling highlighting Trump's problem with the female half of the electorate. This trend is bad pic.twitter.com/dA5wXJdtQW
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 1, 2016
These Ipsos Reuters favourability numbers don't look good for Donald Trump pic.twitter.com/1xKd33iVaR
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 1, 2016
There’s an interesting article by John Fund just out in National Review speculating that really Mr. Trump doesn’t want the nomination and what we are seeing at the moment is what it describes as “self-sabotage”. Fund observes:
“…Cheri Jacobus, a GOP strategist who had meetings with Trump’s campaign about becoming its communications director. “I believe Trump senses he is in over his head and doesn’t really want the nomination,†she told me. “He wanted to help his brand and have fun, but not to be savaged by the Clintons if he’s the candidate. He wouldn’t mind falling short of a delegate majority, losing the nomination, and then playing angry celebrity victim in the coming years.â€
To all outward appearances, Trump seems to be engaged in a form of self-sabotaging behavior in which people both move toward a goal and then from deep within do things to defeat themselves…”
It’s hard to assess whether or not this is on the right tracks but it certainly is the case that several of his recent statement seem to be hindering rather than helping his effort. Suggesting that woman who have abortions should be punished or his hint that he could renege on his promise not to run a third party campaign if he his nomination attempt failed haven’t done him any good.
This could be very important if, like me, you have money invested on the nomination markets. Earlier in the week I lad Trump on Betfair at 1.43, The back price is now 1.75.