Browsed by
Month: March 2016

Super Tuesday – the night goes on

Super Tuesday – the night goes on

Super Tuesday results as at 0200 GMT via @politicalwire pic.twitter.com/lS5iKxpZjw — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 2, 2016 YouGov Conservative members leadership poll hasBoris 43%Osborne 22%May 19%Javid 7% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 2, 2016

Clinton and Trump should be even hotter favourites tonight if the 11 Super Tuesday primaries go according to the polls

Clinton and Trump should be even hotter favourites tonight if the 11 Super Tuesday primaries go according to the polls

March opens in the 2016 White House Race with primaries in 11 different systems including big ones such as Texas, Minesota and Massachusetts. Texas is the one which will get the most focus because it is the home state of Ted Cruz. He has to win there to even have slim hopes of making it to the nomination. Cruz has said putting pressure on himself: “There is no doubt, any candidate who cannot win his home state has real problems”…

Read More Read More

The task for Corbyn’s LAB on May 5th: Match previous opposition leaders in non general election years

The task for Corbyn’s LAB on May 5th: Match previous opposition leaders in non general election years

Kinnock 1984 Net gains LAB in locals Kinnock 1985 Net gains LAB in locals Kinnock 1986 Net gains LAB in locals Kinnock 1988 Net gains LAB in locals Kinnock 1989 Net gains LAB in locals Kinnock 1990 Net gains LAB in locals Kinnock 1991 Net gains LAB in locals Smith 1993 Net gains LAB in locals Smith 1994 Net gains LAB in locals Blair 1995 Net gains LAB in locals Blair 1996 Net gains LAB in locals Hague 1998 Net…

Read More Read More

Alastair Meeks wonders whether the LEAVE campaign has already sunk

Alastair Meeks wonders whether the LEAVE campaign has already sunk

Embed from Getty Images BREXIT messaging has gone all over the place The referendum polling generally shows the EU hardly enthuses.  Yet Remain is still ahead in most of the polls.  One of the Leave campaign’s weaknesses is that there is as yet no agreement about what a vote for Leave stands for.  Many of the proposed answers are mutually inconsistent.  What should the intending Leave voter expect?  Here are some of the possibilities. Voting Leave doesn’t really mean Exit:…

Read More Read More