Tonight’s PB quickie poll and this week’s local elections results
Tonight's Politicalbetting poll
Will George Osborne be David Cameron's successor as CON leader?— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 30, 2015
Risedale on Barrow in Furness (Lab defence)
Result: Labour 428 (53% -24%), United Kingdom Independence Party 193 (24% +1%), Conservative 187 (23%, no candidate in 2015)
Labour HOLD with a majority of 235 (29%) on a swing of 12.5% from Lab to UKIP
Shenfield on Brentwood (Lib Dem defence)
Result: Conservative 852 (57% +19%), Liberal Democrat 483 (33% -11%), United Kingdom Independence Party 85 (6% -8%), Labour 49 (3% -1%), Green Party 16 (1%, no candidate in 2014)
Conservative GAIN from Liberal Democrat with a majority of 369 (24%) on a swing of 15% from Lib Dem to Con
Congleton East on Cheshire East (Con defence)
Result: Conservative 700 (37% -2%), Liberal Democrat 542 (28% +18%), Labour 409 (21% +1%), United Kingdom Independence Party 266 (14% -3%)
Conservative HOLD with a majority of 158 (9%) on a swing of 10% from Con to Lib Dem
Euxton North on Chorley (Lab defence)
Result: Labour 697 (57% +12%), Conservative 443 (36% -1%), United Kingdom Independence Party 76 (6% -13%)
Labour HOLD with a majority of 254 (21%) on a swing of 6.5% from Con to Lab
Peterborough West on Peterborough (Con defence)
Result: Conservative 1,174 (46% +4%), Labour 742 (29% -2%), United Kingdom Independence Party 415 (16% -3%), Liberal Democrat 103 (4% -4%), Green Party 94 (4%, no candidate in 2014)
Conservative HOLD with a majority of 432 (17%) on a swing of 3% from Lab to Con
Hellingly on Wealden (Con defence)
Result: Liberal Democrat 875 (70% +35%), Conservative 222 (18% -30%), Independent 154 (12% -5%)
Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative with a majority of 653 (52%) on a swing of 32.5% from Con to Lib Dem
October Summary
Conservatives 16,465 votes (27%) winning 10 seats (unchanged)
Labour 14,138 votes (24%) winning 8 seats (unchanged)
Scottish National Party 11,524 votes (19%) winning 6 seats (unchanged)
Liberal Democrats 7,714 votes (13%) winning 3 seats (unchanged)
United Kingdom Independence Party 3,167 votes (5%) winning 1 seat (unchanged)
Green Party 3,029 votes (5%) winning 1 seat (unchanged)
Independents 1,908 votes (3%) winning 2 seats (unchanged)
Plaid Cymru 780 votes (1%) winning 0 seats (unchanged)
Other Parties 1,481 votes (3%) winning 0 seat (unchanged)
GAINS
Scottish National Party GAIN Midstocket and Rosemount from Con on Aberdeen
Labour GAIN Banbury, Grimsbury and Castle from Con on Cherwell
Non Party Independent GAIN West Side and Ness from Ind on Western Isles
Liberal Democrats GAIN Aird and Loch Ness from SNP on Highland
Conservatives GAIN Goldsworth West from Lib Dem on Woking
Conservatives GAIN Tottington from Lab on Bury
Conservatives GAIN Shenfield from Lib Dem on Brentwood
Liberal Democrats GAIN Hellingly from Con on Wealden
Results compiled by Harry Hayfield