The real answer to the “shy Tories” phenomenon is Boris
In 2012 many more said they’d vote for him than actually did
A lot has been written in the past week about so-called “shy Tories” who are reluctant to tell pollsters on the phone or when they complete online questionnaires that they’ll support the blues.
Yet look at what happened in 2012 when Boris was re-elected as mayor of London – the opposite happened. Every single pollsters had Boris lead at a level bigger than it was.
Of the firms featuring in the chart only one used the phone at that election – Populus- and it came out worst of all.