My podcast with Keiran Pedley of Polling Matters + latest YouGov has LAB back in the lead
Yesterday I recorded a podcast with the excellent Keiran Pedley (@keiranpedley), the professional pollster who runs the Polling Matters website. We covered a lot of issues that are very familiar to PB regulars including comparing betting markets to opinion polls, Lord Ashcroft and regional polling, Scotland and the future of the Liberal Democrats after the election. Also Keiran asked about how PB was set up in the first place more than eleven years ago
Meanwhile overnight we have had the daily YouGov which has reverted to a small LAB lead.
YouGov/Sun poll tonight – Labour have a one-point lead: CON 34%, LAB 35%, LD 9%, UKIP 12%, GRN 4%
— Sun Politics (@SunPolitics) April 28, 2015
The 12% UKIP share in latest YouGov equals the lowest for the party since early August last year
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 28, 2015
Coming up today I’m expecting a new round of ComRes battleground polling for ITV. My guess, based on the fact that my wife was called by ComRes on Sunday, is that this latest survey will focus on tight LAB-CON battlegrounds.
Tomorrow we are promised a new phone poll from Ipsos-MORI.
Mike Smithson
For 11 years viewing politics from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble
For latest polling and political betting news follow @MSmithsonPB